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Barty vs Sabalenka: another final between these players
Two weeks ago in the final of Stuttgart tournament Ashleigh Barty outplayed Aryna Sabalenka. On May 8, players will fight for the title at Madrid. Who will win this time? You can find out in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Ashleigh Barty
AustraliaAt Madrid Ashleigh Barty extended her winning streak to nine matches. After a Stuttgart title no one can stop the World No. 1.
At the Spanish capital Australian player won five matches. We can't say that she was impressive in all of them. In the second round she lost one set to Zidansek (6:4, 1:6, 6:3). In the quarter-final Kvitova snatched a set from Barty (6:1, 3:6, 6:3). But overall, Ashleigh played pretty confidently throughout the tournament. In the crucial moments she always plays very accurate.
In the semi-final Barty defeated a local player Paula Badosa (6:4, 6:3). The first set was decided by Ashleigh's break in the end. In the second one Paula won a game on Barty's serve, but failed to keep that advantage. Though, Spaniard had chances to come back towards the end.
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusAryna Sabalenka played no less impressive than Ashleigh Barty. But Belarusian player lost to her opponent in the final of Stuttgart tournament (6:3, 0:6, 6:3). This match started well for Aryna, but after the second set she failed to get back in the game.
Sabalenka crushed her opponents in the main draw of Madrid Open, all of her five matches ended in a straight sets. In three out of five fixtures she beat Russian players. Sabalenka became a cryptonite for Russians - she is on a nine game winning streak over them in all tournaments.
At the Spanish capital Sabalenka beat Zvonareva (6:1, 6:2), Kasatkina (6:3, 6:3) and Pavlyuchenkova (6:2, 6:3). She also had victories over Pegula (6:1, 6:2) and Mertens (withdrawn from the match in the second set).
Belarusian player is currently at her peak. It's the best moment to take revenge on Barty for a defeat in the Stuttgart final. In case if she wins this fixture, Aryna will rise to the 4th spot in the WTA rankings.
Trends
СтавкаTiebreak in the match: yes
In three out of last seven H2H fixtures tiebreaks were played
СтавкаSets total over 2.5
Last two H2H matches ended in three sets
СтавкаDouble faults: total over 5.5
In all seven H2H matches there were more than five double faults
Tip and bets
Both Ashleigh Barty and Aryna Sabalenka are on a top form and will deservedly play their second final in a row. Players had two head-to-head matches this year. Both times World No. 1 took the win, but Aryna won a couple of sets. Neither of the players have a significant advantage, so we will likely to see another long match.
Our prediction - total over 21 games
We will give our preference to Ashleigh Barty in this one. World No. 1 already claimed two wins over Aryna at Miami and at Stuttgart. After these losses Aryna will have a hard time emotionally, despite her great form.
Our second bet is on Barty to win.
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