Alexandrova vs Kalinskaya: a Russian derby in Berlin

On June 14, Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anna Kalinskaya will play the first match of the Berlin tournament. What to expect from the match of two compatriots? The answer is in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova secured her place in the Top-50 of WTA, but she has not achieved a major success on most recent tournaments. On clay Ekaterina won only 6 matches out of 11, reaching the quarter-final at Stuttgart and then at Strasbourg.
Alexandrova will start the grass portion of the season at Berlin. Throughout her career, Russian player had only 25 matches on the grass and won 14 of them.

Anna Kalinskaya

Anna Kalinskaya performed great on two hard tournaments in Monterrey (quarter-finalist) and in Miami (reached the third round). But after that Russian player became less successful. On clay Anna won only two matches out of seven played.
In Berlin Kalinskaya will play her first match on the grass during this season. Her record on that surface is the same as her opponent's: 14-11. But we should mention that Kalinskaya is playing bad against Alexandrova. She lost all three head-to-head fixtures and couldn't even snatch a set.
Trends
СтавкаSecond set: total under 8.5
In all three head-to-head matches no more than eight games were played in the second set

СтавкаSets performance: 2<1
In two out of three head-to-head matches more games were played in the first set than in the second one

Tip and bets
Players are on even conditions, both of them will play the first match on the grass during this season. Alexandrova and Kalinskaya also have the same win-loss record on the grass. But Ekaterina is way ahead on head-to-head matches , she won three fixtures without losing a set. We predict Alexandrova to win this match.
Our prediction - Alexandrova to win with a handicap of (-4) games
All head-to-heads finished in straight sets. Kalinskaya is not looking good in matches against Alexandrova. We don't think that this match will take long.
Our second bet is on total under 21 games