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Sventek vs. Gracheva: WTA Cincinnati Match Prediction
Iga Swiatek failed to win a gold medal at the Olympic Games. The Polish tennis player has never had a title in Cincinnati. Varvara Gracheva has already played three matches on local courts, taking into account the qualification. Will the representative of France be able to put up a decent fight against the world's number one tennis player on August 15? We suggest you read our expert's betting tip and choose reliable bets
Command Analysis
Iga Swiatek
PolandCurrent form
Swiatek was clearly betting on gold in Paris, but in the semi-finals, Zheng Jingwen stood in her way (2-6, 5-7). In the end, she had to settle for only bronze, having beaten Schmiedlova (6-2, 6-1) in the match for third place. Iga was in no hurry to switch to hard courts, and skipped the tournament in Toronto last week. In an interview, the Polish tennis player noted that she views the competition in Cincinnati as an important stage in her preparation for the US Open, but this does not mean that she will not fight for the title. Moreover, she needs to defend her points from last year's semi-finals on local courts. Then, let us recall, she lost to Gauff here.
Professional qualities
There are no weaknesses as such in the game of the world's number one, everything is at a high level. Of course, her powerful forehand stands out, clearly the best on the tour. At the same time, Iga does not like it when her opponents manage to seize the initiative and play first number. In such cases, as, for example, with Alexandrova in Miami this year, she gets lost, begins to make many unforced errors.
Current indicators in the tour
Without any particular problems, Šwiętek holds the first place in the world ranking. Since the beginning of the year, she has won five trophies, including on hard in Doha and Indian Wells. In total, Iga has won 22 out of 25 matches on hard courts this year. It should be noted that she lost twice to Russian tennis players – Kalinskaya and Andreeva. She suffered another defeat on hard to Linda Noskova in the third round of the Australian Open.
Interesting facts for betting
- Only one of Swiatek's four Cincinnati openers went to fewer than 17 games.
- In the three previous matches of the Polish tennis player, no more than eight games were played in the first set
Varvara Gracheva
FranceCurrent form
Gracheva recently received a French passport and was able to compete at the Olympics for this country, where she has been living permanently for several years. However, there was no success - a defeat in the first round from Haddad Maia (4-6, 6-4, 0-6). In Cincinnati, Varvara passed Peru and Sosnovich in the qualification without giving up any sets. In the first round of the main draw, she had a tough confrontation with Tomljanovich (6-3, 2-6, 7-6). It should be noted that in that meeting, both tennis players made many unforced errors, moreover, Ayla realized only 4 of 13 breakpoints, and in the tie-break, the Australian tennis player was leading with a score of 5-3, but did not "close" her opponent.
Professional qualities
Gracheva does not have a stable serve in her arsenal to be able to score easy points. Varvara often plays with decent swings, and if the game does not go well, she can give away entire sets, as was the case at the Olympics with the same Haddad Maia.
Current indicators in the tour
Gracheva has not seen any breakthrough this year. She manages to stay in the top 100 of the world rankings, but nothing more. On hard courts, we see a modest seven wins and eight losses. Moreover, she has already managed to secure three victories in Cincinnati.
Interesting facts for betting
- On hard courts, before the start in Cincinnati, Gracheva had a series of six defeats without winning a single set.
- In none of the three matches Varvara played in Cincinnati were more than nine games played in the second set
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
This is the scenario that unfolded in three of Swiatek's four previous matches.
2.21Bet 1st set: total under 8.5 games
This bet was successful in the last three matches of the Polish tennis player
1.72Tip and bets
Swiatek has not had any match practice since the Olympics, and she will play her first match on hard courts after the break today. It is worth noting that her opening matches on local courts were often difficult. Gracheva, despite her instability, managed to warm up in Cincinnati and we do not expect an outright failure from her, especially since last season she did not lose to Iga on hard courts in a personal meeting with a difference of more than seven games.
Our prediction is Gracheva's victory with a handicap of (+7.5) games at odds of 1.69
Bet on total
Considering that Šwiętek may need some time to adapt after the change of surface, we expect in the betting tip that at least 17 games will be played today. Moreover, Iga clearly needs game practice now, and the opponent has already managed to warm up.
The second bet is total over 16.5 games for 1.60
Bet on the second set
In three of the six previous matches involving Šwiętek, more than nine games were played in the second set. We do not rule out a scenario in which today the most intense battle will unfold in this game segment.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set over 8.5 with odds of 2.18
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