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Dynamo Moscow vs Neftekhimik: KHL Match Prediction
Dynamo returns home after a tough series of games in the East. Under the guidance of Alexey Kudashev, the team secured only four points from four matches in Moscow and aims to improve their stats on September 29. After a strong start to the season, Neftekhimik has declined significantly, suffering five consecutive losses. Can the Wolves challenge the favorites at VTB Arena? Or will the Blue-White continue their ascent in the Western Conference standings? Read on for insights and predictions on this matchup.
Command Analysis
HC Dynamo Moscow
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Dynamo returns home after a challenging stretch of away games. Alexey Kudashev's squad opened in Moscow, suffering a 1-3 loss to CSKA, showing a lackluster performance at the finish. They then traveled to the Far East, where they were defeated decisively by Admiral, with a score of 1-4. The home team's coach found the right words to motivate his players, leading the Dynamo to close their road trip with victories against Amur, 2-1, and Barys. The Moscow team managed to improve their standings slightly, currently placed ninth in the Western Conference with eight points from nine games.
The capital club's offense does not appear as formidable as it was last season. Dynamo averages over 32 shots on goal per match, but Nikita Gusev's team struggles with a low conversion rate of just 7.6%. The defense is experiencing more significant challenges at the moment. On average, the hosts take six penalties per game and concede around 2.88 goals. Recently signed Hunter Misca has only managed to save 90.39% of shots on his net, which means Maxim Motorygin currently holds the status of the starting goalkeeper.
Injuries and Suspensions
There are no significant absences for Dynamo as they prepare to face the Wolves.
Interesting Betting Trends
- The hosts block an average of 18 shots per match
The entire team makes a concerted effort to defend, limiting opponents' scoring opportunities.
- The Muscovites win 56% of face-offs
Dynamo boasts impressive face-off statistics and rarely loses in this area.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Neftekhimik secured four wins out of their first five matches this season, but as they embarked on their first lengthy road trip, Oleg Leontyev's team began to lose momentum. The Wolves faced defeats in Novosibirsk (2-5), Chelyabinsk (2-3), Magnitogorsk (0-1 in a shootout), and Togliatti (4-5 in a shootout). Their performance in Tatarstan against Avtomobilist was also lackluster, resulting in a 1-2 loss. The team quickly lost their earlier strong position, sliding down to seventh place in the Eastern Conference standings with ten points after ten games.
The guests have struggled offensively, scoring more than two goals in only two of their ten season games. On average, Alexander Dergachev's team scores just 1.8 goals per game, with their leading scorer being Alexander Belozerov, who has registered six points (3+3). Notably, Neftekhimik allows opponents more than 34 shots on goal per match. While Artem Zagidullin and Filip Dolganov show decent reliability, stopping 93.3% of opponent attempts, their defense remains under heavy fire.
Disqualifications and Injuries
The players from Nizhnekamsk will travel to the capital with a full roster.
Interesting Betting Trends
- The Southerners accumulate an average of eight penalty minutes per game.
Sergiy Zubov's squad takes a fair number of penalties and successfully neutralizes only 80.6% of opponent attempts.
- The Tatarstan club wins 51.1% of face-offs.
The guests perform well in puck possession battles and tend to win more often in such matchups.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three of the last four matches featuring «Dynamo» no more than one goal has been scored in the first periods.
1.88Bet 1st period: win for «Dynamo»
«Dynamo» has won three consecutive first periods at home
2.03Tip and bets
HC Dynamo is not showcasing its best hockey at the start of the new season, but losing points in matches against the league's underdogs is unacceptable for the Blue-Whites. HC Neftekhimik's early momentum has faded, and they are currently on a five-game losing streak, stemming from their lackluster offensive performance. So far, only the goalkeepers from Nizhnekamsk have been able to contribute to any points, but facing Dynamo in Moscow will pose an incredible challenge for them. We don't expect the Wolves to put up a significant fight on the ice at the VTB Arena. We recommend betting on a Dynamo victory in regulation time.
Prediction - Dynamo to win at 1.60
Bet on Total Goals
Dynamo has struggled offensively this season, and their recent victories have relied on solid defensive play. Nefthekhimik has not found its rhythm in attack throughout late September, but the visiting goalies can keep the wolves in the game. We don't expect a high-scoring match in the capital. Therefore, we recommend a wager on a total that is comfortably under for these teams.
We're betting on under 5.5 goals at 1.90
Bet on First Period Total
The Dynamo players tend to start slowly, having only managed to score two goals at home in their last game. Nefthekhimik will need to seize counterattack opportunities, which means Coach Oleg Leontiev's squad likely won't push aggressively from the opening seconds. We believe there will be a maximum of one goal scored in the first 20 minutes of the game.
We are taking under 1.5 goals for the first period at odds of 1.88
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