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Akhmat vs Siberia: KHL Match Prediction
On September 30, Avangard will once again aim to end its lengthy losing streak. Their challenge comes from Siberia, who have been performing exceptionally well this season, adding intrigue to the matchup. Our analysts have worked to identify the strengths and weaknesses of both teams and compiled the latest betting odds, which we invite you to explore in our upcoming predictions.
Command Analysis
Avangard Omsk
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Avangard started the regular season strong with three consecutive wins, but the team has since faltered. The Omsk squad has struggled to find success over the last seven games, suffering defeats not only to front-runners but also to teams like Amur (2:3 in a shootout) and Siberia (1:4). Home advantage did little to help the Hawks, who failed to score a single goal in their match against Avtomobilist, losing decisively (0:3). Goaltender Khomchenko had a poor performance, leading to his replacement midway through the second period after conceding three goals. Following this, the team faced further challenges on the road, losing to stronger opponents like SKA (1:4) and Lokomotiv (2:3).
The main issue for Zvyagin's squad remains their lackluster offensive play. On average, the team scores just two goals per game, which is clearly insufficient in the KHL. This has led to numerous defeats, causing Avangard to drop to eighth place in the Eastern Conference standings.
Injuries and Suspensions
Avangard is gradually addressing their squad issues. Forward Busse has fully recovered from injury, but fellow key scorer Tkachev remains sidelined. Additionally, goalkeeper Berdin will miss the upcoming match.
Betting Trends to Note
- Avangard averages two goals per game
As previously mentioned, Avangard struggles to create dangerous scoring opportunities and even when they do, they have significant difficulties converting them, which is the primary reason for their poor performance.
- Omsk has a power play conversion rate of 31%
The Hawks tend to perform well offensively, especially when facing opponents with one less player. The team consistently capitalizes on their opponents' penalties, helping them avoid heavy losses.
Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Siberia has bounced back remarkably after a rocky start to the regular season, going unbeaten for six consecutive matches which surprised many as the club is not typically seen as a powerhouse in the east. This impressive run allowed the New Siberians to secure third place in their conference standings, amassing 12 points. It's worth noting that nearly all of Siberia's victories came at home, where they consistently perform better than on the road. However, their winning streak came to an end at home against Avtomobilist, where their defense faltered, leading to a 2-4 defeat. The team allowed too many opportunities for the Yekaterinburg side, and goalkeeper Krasotkin didn't deliver his best performance this time.
Despite the loss to Avto, Siberia's solid defensive play deserves recognition. The team has consistently fended off opponents' attacks while also thrilling fans with their offensive hockey.
Injuries and Suspensions
Siberia is almost at full strength, missing only forward Ovchinnikov, who is injured and has yet to participate in any games this season.
Interesting Betting Trends
- One in every nine shots by Siberia results in a goal
Siberia boasts an impressive shooting efficiency, ranking among the best in goals scored so far this season.
- On average, the New Siberians incur 6.5 minutes of penalties per match
The hallmark of the Snowflakes is their disciplined play, as the team commits penalties infrequently, allowing them to maintain their game plan effectively.
Trends
Bet Goal in every period - yes
In five of the last six head-to-head matches, both teams scored a goal in every period
1.70Bet 2nd Period: Total under 1.5 goals
In the past three meetings, both teams did not score more than one goal in the second period
1.95Tip and bets
Despite the poor form of Avangard, bookmakers continue to have faith in the team's success and offer a high odds on a Siberia victory, which we find unjustified and an opportunity to capitalize on. Indeed, Novosibirsk has not performed well on the road, but it's important to note that the club recently gained a significant morale boost, winning almost all their home games. On the other hand, the Hawks have struggled at home as well, failing to impress their fans and unable to secure points. For these reasons, we suggest placing a bet in favor of the visitors, yet for extra security, we recommend taking the double chance for the Snowflakes.
Our prediction is that Siberia will not lose at 1.92
Total Bet
The upcoming match has the potential to be high-scoring as Siberia favors an open attacking style of hockey, which will push Avangard to engage in a more aggressive game. Therefore, our second bet suggests a total of over.
Prediction - total over 4.5 goals at 1.75
First Period Outcome Bet
Even at home, Avangard struggles to apply pressure on their opponents from the start, often allowing the other team to take the lead and win the first period. We recommend placing a bet on this trend.
Prediction - Siberia to win the first period with a draw no bet (0) at 2.33
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