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Nardi vs Muller. Match Prediction for ATP Shanghai
Nardi and Muller will face off in the first round of the tournament in Shanghai on October 2. Muller is favored to win this upcoming match, but don’t underestimate Nardi, who holds a 2-1 edge in their head-to-head record. What betting options should you consider for this encounter? Find out in our expert analysis.
Command Analysis
Luca Nardi
ItalyCurrent Form
Nardi has struggled in his last two tournaments. At the competition in Hangzhou, he lost to Fabiano Marozzan in the first round. In Tokyo, he failed to advance through the qualifying rounds altogether. This season on outdoor hard courts, Luke has recorded 13 wins against 12 losses.
Professional Skills
Nardi is primarily a clay court player with the potential to be versatile. He can perform well on outdoor hard courts, as demonstrated by his surprising victory over Novak Djokovic six months ago in Indian Wells. The Italian boasts a powerful first serve and favors an aggressive playing style. However, he still lacks a complete grasp of the nuances of high-speed play, which reflects in his results.
Current Tour Rankings
Nardi is currently ranked 88th in the ATP world rankings, placing him in the top 100. This season, Luke secured one title, winning a clay challenger in Naples in March. He also reached the finals in a hard court event in Chennai.
Interesting Betting Facts
Since his victory over Djokovic in March, Nardi has not secured any wins against top 100 players.
Alexandre Muller
FranceCurrent Form
Müller has struggled in two recent tournaments. In Chengdu, he lost in the first round to Federico Gomez, and in Tokyo, he failed to qualify, falling to Mattia Bellucci. This season, the French player has recorded nine wins against 13 losses on outdoor hard courts.
Professional Qualities
Müller, raised on clay courts, favors a counterattacking style. He methodically constructs points, utilizing a precise forehand and skillfully altering the tempo with drop shots and sliced strikes. His returning game is consistent, but his serve remains a weak point, making it unreliable against opponents with strong returns.
Current Tour Statistics
On his preferred clay surface, Müller has achieved decent results this season, with 20 wins and 12 losses, plus one title to his name. In August, he claimed victory at the Challenger in San Marino. Currently, the Frenchman sits at 71st in the world rankings.
Interesting Betting Facts
In his last ten matches on outdoor hard courts, Müller has managed only two victories.
Trends
Bet Set Performance: 2>1
In three of the last five matches, Nardi's gameplay followed this pattern
2.32Bet No Tiebreak in Match
This bet has been successful in the last five matches involving Müller
2.05Tip and bets
Müller secured a decisive victory over Nardi in their last encounter. We consider Alexander the favorite in this matchup. While a challenging and lengthy battle may await him, we still anticipate that the final win will go to the French player.
Our prediction is a win for Müller with a handicap of (-2) games at odds of 1.81
Total Bet
Both players have been performing poorly lately, suggesting that their upcoming match will likely feature a high number of games. Additionally, this season, they have already faced each other in a match that also went over.
Our second prediction is a total of over 22 games at odds of 1.83
First Set Bet
In four of Müller’s last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect Alexander’s upcoming match against Nardi to also kick off with a high-scoring opening set.
Prediction - total over 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.67
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