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Carballes Baena vs Shelton ATP Shanghai Match Preview
Carballes Baena and Shelton will face off on October 7 in the third round of the Shanghai tournament. Shelton has been performing exceptionally well this season, particularly on outdoor hard courts that align perfectly with his playing style. Will the upcoming match against Carballes Baena prove successful for him? Our analysis and betting tips for this clash are available in our betting tip.
Command Analysis
Roberto Carballes Baena
SpainCurrent Form
Roberto Carballes Baena showcased his skills in the second round of the Shanghai tournament, overcoming Arthur Fils in a pair of tiebreaks. In this match, Roberto served three aces, converted two break points, and dropped two games on his serve. This victory marked his tenth win on outdoor hard courts this season, alongside 11 losses.
Professional Qualities
Carballes Baena is a defensive baseliner who earns points through lengthy rallies, waiting for his opponents to make mistakes. He rarely hits outright winners and feels more comfortable receiving than serving. While his shots lack sheer power, he compensates with precision in his strikes.
Current Tour Statistics
The primary surface for Carballes Baena is clay, where he has clinched two titles this season, triumphing in Braunschweig and Seville. Currently, Roberto holds the 54th position in the ATP rankings.
Interesting Betting Insights
Carballes Baena has suffered nine consecutive losses against players ranked in the top 20 of the ATP standings.
Ben Shelton
USACurrent Form
In the second round of the Masters in Shanghai, Shelton triumphed over Denis Shapovalov with a score of 6-3, 7-5. During the match, Ben delivered 11 aces, converted two break points, and did not drop a single game on his serve. This marks Shelton's 21st victory on outdoor hard courts this season, alongside 12 losses.
Professional Qualities
Shelton is among the top servers on tour, ranking fourth in aces for the season, trailing only Hurkacz, Zverev, and Fritz. His powerful serve is complemented by a formidable forehand and confident net play, making him a formidable opponent on fast courts.
Current Tour Statistics
This season, Shelton has secured a victory at the prestigious tournament in Houston, marking the second ATP title of his career. Currently, he ranks 16th in the ATP world standings.
Betting Insights
On outdoor hard courts, Shelton has won 10 of 13 matches against players outside the top 50 of the world rankings.
Trends
Bet Sets Efficiency: 1>2
In 3 of the last 5 matches for Carballea Baena, the on-court events unfolded in this manner
2.26Bet No Tiebreak in the Match
This bet has been successful in 3 of Sheltons last 5 matches
2.15Tip and bets
Ben Shelton is having a remarkable season, showcasing his excellence on hard courts. The fast surface in Shanghai perfectly aligns with his playing style. We believe he will confidently overcome the experienced clay specialist Carlos Alcaraz Baena.
Our prediction is a Shelton victory with a game handicap of (-4) at odds of 1.76
Total Bet
Baena and Shelton have met already this season in a matchup at the Auckland tournament. That encounter concluded in just two sets, and we anticipate the upcoming match will follow a similar pattern.
Our second prediction is a total of under 22 games at odds of 1.89
First Set Bet
In three of Shelton's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect Ben's upcoming battle against Baena will also kick off with a high-scoring first set.
The prediction is a total of over 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.81
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