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Barys vs Avangard: KHL Match Prediction
The league's bottom team, Barys, will face Avangard at home on October 10. The Astana team is on a lengthy losing streak and struggling to regain their form. Meanwhile, the Omsk side has also been underperforming recently, alternating between wins and losses. However, in terms of skill, the Hawks still have the edge over their rivals. Should you bet on their victory in the upcoming match? Find out in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent Form
The Barys team is struggling as the bottom team of the Eastern Conference with just five points to their name. Their chances of making the playoffs this season seem bleak given their poor performance. Under new head coach Vyacheslav Butsaev, they have managed only one victory against Sochi and are currently on a five-game losing streak. Recently, they returned from an away series where they lost to Spartak (2-4), Avangard (0-4), and Automobilist (3-4).
In all these matches, the Barys allowed at least four goals. In their latest matchup against the Ural team, they even had a two-goal lead but failed to hold on, ending up with no points. There has been little noticeable improvement in Barys' gameplay. Recently, they have attempted to play a more offensive style, which has resulted in scoring more than one goal, yet they are still conceding at least four goals in return.
Injuries and Suspensions
Muratov, Ospanov, and CJ Smith will not play due to injuries.
Notable Betting Trends
- On average, Barys concedes 3.79 goals per game.
Barys has shown weak defensive play recently, allowing four or more goals consistently.
- The team has a goal differential of 3:20 in the third period.
Barys scores the least in the third period compared to the others.
Avangard Omsk
Russian FederationCurrent Form
A vanguard currently sits in ninth place in the East and remains outside the playoff zone. This situation is far from satisfactory for the club's management, yet Sergey Zvyagin continues to receive repeated opportunities. So far, the coach has not met expectations. At best, the team alternates between wins and losses. Recently, they made a comeback against Siberia, winning 3-2, only to lose to Lokomotiv 3-5 before bouncing back with a decisive 4-0 victory over Barys.
The team primarily earns most of its points at home, having yet to secure a win on the road. On the other hand, they maintain a solid power play, ranking best in the league with a 35.1% success rate in the 5-on-4 format. Additionally, things have improved for the Hawks since Reed Bouche's return to the lineup, as he has recorded five points in six games.
Disciplinary Issues and Injuries
Mikhail Berdin will miss the game due to injury.
Interesting Betting Trends
- A vanguard holds a 7-14 goal differential in the first period.
The team struggles in the opening twenty minutes, often allowing many goals during this stretch.
- The team averages 6.38 penalty minutes per game.
A vanguard plays disciplined hockey, drawing few penalties and limiting the opponent's scoring chances.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In four out of five matchups between these teams, the first period ended scoreless
1.75Bet 2nd period: victory for the Omsk team
In the last two encounters, the visitors prevailed in the second period
2.05Tip and bets
A month ago, Avangard struggled to secure road victories, but they faced tougher opponents. This season, Barys has been underperforming, losing 0-4 to the Omsk team just three days prior. In that match, the Hawks showcased a dominant performance, earning their two points fairly. We believe the matchup in Astana will mirror the previous game. The visitors are expected to take charge, and Barys will likely find it challenging to handle the pressure.
Prediction - Avangard to win with an Asian handicap of (-1) on goals at 1.75
Bet on Individual Total
Avalanche has shown solid scoring in recent games, consistently netting at least three goals. On the other hand, Barys has conceded at least four goals in their last four matches. Barys has adopted a more offensive style of play, aiming to score while frequently allowing goals from their opponents. It is quite possible that in the upcoming match, they will again allow the rival to score four times.
We recommend betting on the individual total of Avalanche to be over three goals at 1.75
Bet on Overall Total
Recent matches involving Barys have been high-scoring, often featuring more than five goals. Avalanche has not been known for their defensive strength since the start of the season and is fully relying on their offensive capabilities. It is highly likely that the match will be fast-paced, with both teams engaging in an active game.
We suggest taking the total to be over 5.5 goals at 2.15
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