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Sochi vs Lokomotiv: KHL Match Prediction
On October 12, Sochi will host a match against Yaroslavl's Lokomotiv on home ice. The Leopards recently faced back-to-back losses following a winning streak, while the Railwaymen have also struggled to find their rhythm lately. However, the head-to-head record favors the visiting team. Is it worth betting on Lokomotiv to win at the odds offered by bookmakers? You will find out in our analysis.
Command Analysis
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Sochi is once again the primary underdog in the Western Conference, sitting at the bottom of the standings. The team has only accumulated ten points and is unlikely to improve its situation soon due to an upcoming stretch of road games. Recently, the Leopards managed a successful run of three victories, but this was quickly followed by two consecutive losses.
It’s worth noting that on home ice, Sergey Zubov's squad faced Vityaz twice, losing the first match 2-4 and the second in overtime 2-3. In each of these games, the team struggled to score more than two goals, highlighting a lack of forwards capable of making impactful plays at critical moments. This has led Sochi to rely on an open style of play, focusing on counterattacks, as they have little to offer in positional offense.
Injuries and Suspensions
Manukhov will miss the match due to injury.
Betting Trends
- Sochi has a goal differential of 7:18 in the first period.
The team often struggles in the opening period and frequently falls behind.
- The Leopards average 22 hits per game.
Sochi ranks among the best in this category, spending much of their time on defense and forced to use physical play to regain possession from opponents.
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Lokomotiv remains the leader of the Western Conference with a total of 24 points. The team is still in strong form, collecting points in seven consecutive games. However, their last two matches are ones they would prefer to forget. They suffered a narrow loss to SKA in overtime (3:4) and barely escaped a surprising defeat against Kunlun (3:2) in their most recent game.
In their matchup against Red Star, the Yaroslavl team displayed a lackluster performance, relying heavily on their defensemen's shots while nearly conceding much more. Overall, the club is among the most reliable in the league defensively, typically allowing opponents to score just one or two goals. Additionally, Lokomotiv holds high hopes for their power play, currently converting 26%, which places them fourth in the league for this statistic.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Alekseev will not participate due to injury.
Interesting Betting Trends
- On average, Lokomotiv concedes 1.33 goals per away game.
When playing on the road, the Yaroslavl team adopts an even more conservative style than at home.
- Statistics show that Lokomotiv takes an average of 34 shots on goal per match.
Nikitin's squad seeks every opportunity to shoot and consistently creates numerous scoring chances near their opponents' net.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matchups between these teams, the first period was high-scoring
2.00Bet 3rd period: away team to win
In four out of five matches, Loko secured victory in the third period
1.95Tip and bets
Sochi ranks among the notable underdogs of the Western Conference while Lokomotiv holds the top position in the standings. The gap in quality between these teams is significant, making it almost a given that the Railwaymen will secure two points in this matchup. Despite their recent less-than-stellar performances, they still appear much stronger than the Leopards. We believe the Yaroslavl squad will achieve victory by a margin of a few goals.
Prediction - Lokomotiv to win with an Asian handicap of (-1.5) for 1.90
Bet on Individual Total
On the road, Igor Nikitin's team prefers to play a very defensive style of hockey, resulting in them conceding few goals. Overall, the club ranks among the league's best in terms of goal prevention and rarely allows two goals against weaker opponents. Sochi, on the other hand, has not shown impressive scoring ability in their recent matches.
We recommend betting on Sochi's individual total of less than 1.5 goals at 2.00.
Bet on Overall Total
Previous encounters between these teams have often been low-scoring. Lokomotiv consistently focuses on defense, while Sochi, lacking skilled forwards, struggles to find the net. We anticipate that the upcoming game will also feature fewer than five goals.
We suggest betting on a total of less than 4.5 goals with odds of 2.20.
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