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Lokomotiv vs. Barys: KHL Match Prediction
Lokomotiv is returning home after a three-game away series and will play against Barys on the ice of Arena-2000 on October 19. The Kazakhs have scored only seven points in 16 games and are the worst team in the KHL, scoring just over one goal on average. The Railwaymen are confidently leading the overall championship standings, not allowing their competitors to get close. Igor Nikitin system works and we can see this from the results of the Yaroslavl club. At the moment, the Steam Engines have lost only one match in the capital of the Golden Ring and are unlikely to share points with the outsiders. Are the Cats capable of putting up any kind of fight? Or will there be another rout of the Astana team? Read about this in our forecast for the meeting
Command Analysis
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lokomotiv has not been perfect in recent games and has scored very little. After a strong-willed victory over Kunlun in the previous match on the ice of Arena-2000 (3:2, OT), Igor Nikitin charges went on an away tour. The Yaroslavl team took two points from Sochi (2:1) and Mytishchi (5:1), but lost in Balashikha (1:2). The Railwaymen, as always, were very good in defense, but they also lacked the ability to convert moments in attack. In the four previous meetings, the "locomotives" were able to score more than two times only once. Now the hosts are still leading the Western Conference table and the entire league as a whole with 28 points after 17 starts. However, Chelyabinsk Traktor is already breathing down Loko neck, which is just one step away from Alexander Elesin team.
The Volzhane have lost only two games to the Golden Ring capital, but have always taken the game to at least overtime. Daniil Isaev and Alexei Melnichuk remain the best goalie duo in the league, reflecting 92.3% of shots.
Disqualifications and injuries
Currently, the home team does not have a single injured or disqualified hockey player.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lokomotiv takes more than 34 shots on goal per game
The hosts put enormous pressure on their opponents' goalkeepers in every game, converting 8.2% of their chances.
- The Railwaymen win 56.5% of faceoffs
Lokomotiv is very good at the point and remains one of the best teams in the league in terms of faceoff win percentage.
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys is going through perhaps the worst times in its history. The Kazakh team is drowning in scandals, and the managers of the "cats" are constantly making the most radical decisions. And now the guests have once again changed their head coach. Galym Mambetaliev has once again become the coach of the Astana team. In addition, the "Bars" have terminated the contract with all the players from North America, so the outsider roster has become even weaker. Plus, Roman Starchenko is now injured and the "blue-yellows" are left without a captain.
As for the results, they still leave much to be desired. Barys has only three wins this season and in matches against Avangard (1:0), Sochi (1:0) and Avtomobilist the cats managed to score only one goal each within regular time. The attack is the main problem for the visitors and it is unlikely that anything will change in the near future.
Disqualifications and injuries
Maxim Mukhambetov, Kirill Savitsky and Roman Starchenko will not come to Yaroslavl on Saturday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys shoots 26 times per game on average
Astana players don't shoot very much and only convert 4.2% of their attempts.
- The visitors only make nine power moves per game.
The "Cats" try to avoid physical struggles and play more with the puck.
Trends
Bet 1st period: Lokomotiv IT less than 1.5 pucks
For four home games in a row, Lokomotiv has not scored more than one goal in the first period
1.50Bet 3rd period: total under 2.5 goals
In four of the previous five matches involving Barys, the third periods were not very productive
1.37Tip and bets
Lokomotiv remains, if not the best, then one of the best teams in the game. The Yaroslavl team can boast of stability in defense, but they often have difficulties on the opponent half of the ice. Igor Nikitin charges score even less on home ice than on the road, and in eight matches at Arena-2000 they have never managed to win with a difference of more than three goals. Barys is exhausted and discouraged, but it is unlikely that the departure of the North Americans could somehow worsen the already terrible situation in the camp of the guests. In recent years, the "cats" have not played so badly in the city on the Volga, so it makes sense to check the bet on a positive handicap. We believe that the "railwaymen" will not try to crush the opponent.
Our prediction is a victory for Barys with an Asian handicap (+3.5) for 1.65
Bet on individual total
Loko has never scored more than four goals in Yaroslavl this season. Igor Nikitin team plays defensively and does not rush forward if it leads with a comfortable advantage. Barys misses 3.5 goals on average per game and the visitors have quite reliable hockey players left in the last line. We do not believe that the hosts will be able to score five accurate shots.
Forecast - individual total of Lokomotiv under 4.5 goals for 1.67
Bet on total
Lokomotiv prefers a closed style of play and is unlikely to force the game even in a match against such a weak opponent. The "Cats" score one goal per match and breaking through the defense of the "railwaymen" will be an incredibly difficult task for Galym Mambetaliyev charges. We suggest betting on the total under goals in the upcoming match.
Forecast - total 5.5 under goals for 1.82
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