Liontips
Atletico vs Alaves: Spanish Championship Match Forecast
Atletico will play in the 14th round of Primera at their home ground Metropolitano on November 23 against Alaves. The last face-to-face meeting saw the victory of the "glorious ones". Will the guests be able to put up a fight in Madrid and what are the prospects of the "white-reds"? Our experts have assessed the teams' chances and prepared the best bets on the game.
Command Analysis
Atletico Madrid
SpainCurrent form
A run of four straight wins in all competitions means Atletico are in their best form since May, but that has not stopped speculation over the future of their legendary manager Diego Simeone. The Argentine, who has won eight major trophies since taking over in 2011, is comfortably La Liga longest-serving coach, but reports in Spain suggest the search for his replacement has already begun. The club appear open to a managerial change, which could be due to the fact they currently sit seven points behind league leaders Barcelona, with qualification for the next stage of the UEFA Champions League uncertain after two defeats in four matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lemar (injury), Molina (muscle injury) and Le Normand (head injury) will not be able to take to the pitch.
Interesting trends for betting
- Atletico Madrid striker Julian Alvarez has scored first or last in each of his last nine league goals
- Atletico have won three of their four home games against Alaves in the top flight
- Atletico Madrid conceded two goals in the second half, the lowest in the league this season
Estimated line-up: Moldovan - Zubeldia, Lemar, Witsel, Lino - Koke, de Paul, Gomez, Riquelmy - Griezmann, Sorloth.
Deportivo Alaves
SpainCurrent form
Alaves have suffered six away defeats in a row in the Spanish league. The visitors also travel to the Spanish capital having lost all but one of their last seven La Liga matches, meaning they enter this round just three points above the relegation zone. It is not an unusual position for a team that has finished 16th or lower in three of the last four seasons in the top flight. One of the main reasons for their dismal position in the table is a weak defence that has already conceded 22 goals – the second-worst in the division.
Disqualifications and injuries
Novoa Ramos (muscle injury) and Benavides (injury) will not be able to take to the pitch today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Defender Manu Sanchez will be on the pitch to make sure that not the case as he returns to face the club where he began his career but has since lost all five of his head-to-head encounters against his former employers, three of which ended 3-0
- Alaves have lost half of their league games after scoring first this season
Probable lineup: Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia.
Trends
Bet Exact score 3:0
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Atletico last 5 matches, goals were scored in the same half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 0 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
In this match we expect active attacking football – both teams had a good rest during the break for the national team games and will try to please the fans today. The hosts will have serious support from the stands, while the “glorious” have a terrible game in defense, which is unlikely to hold Diego Simeone’s charges.
Our forecast is total over 2.5 goals and we bet on it for 2.12
Bet on the outcome
Today we are on the side of the experienced Diego Simeone, who is able to set his team up for a match with any opponent, especially one as unpredictable as Alaves. Most likely, due to their experience and incredible individual skill, the Indians will take full control of the game from the first minutes, which will bring them a convincing success.
Forecast - Asian handicap (-1.5) on Atletico and we bet on it with odds of 2.02
Yellow Card Betting
This fight will most likely not be an exception and may lead to a lot of violations, some of which may be severely condemned by the referee. Moreover, in two of the last four fights, the referee did not show less than four yellow cards.
Forecast - total yellow cards over four. This option can be found for 1.71
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