Liontips
Toronto vs. Utah: NHL Match Prediction
Toronto will face Utah on November 25 at home. For obvious reasons, bookmakers consider the Leafs to be the clear favorites of this matchup and believe that the hosts should succeed in regulation time. However, the visitors literally crushed Pittsburgh the day before, so they are in a great mood now. Will this help them impose a close fight on the Leafs? What is the best bet on this matchup? Find the answers to these questions in the forecast
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto is improving its position in the standings and has already reached the fourth line of the Eastern Conference. The team has earned a total of 26 points, but it should not slow down under any circumstances, because at any moment it may again find itself in the conditional seventh place. We emphasize that at the moment the club is, perhaps, in its best condition for the entire season, since it was able to win six victories in seven matches. It lost only in the confrontation with Ottawa (0:3), but after this failure it dealt with Washington (4:3 OT) and Edmonton (4:3 OT) in turn, and also in the final match it proved its superiority over Vegas with a score of 3:0, without conceding any goals.
Even without Auston Matthews and Max Pacioretty back in the lineup, the Leafs are still showing decent scoring and are usually at least three goals in a row. Mitchell Marner, William Nylander and John Tavares are in great shape, scoring on the ice in almost every game.
It worth mentioning that Craig Berube team still thrives in the second period, scoring a lot and having a 24:19 ratio of goals scored and goals allowed. Toronto also continues to work on its power play and has already reached the 20% mark for power play.
Disqualifications and injuries
Jarnkrok, Klingberg, Nys, Matthews, Mermis, Kempf, Domi, Pacioretty and Ekman-Larsson will be out with injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Statistically, Toronto receives 9.6 minutes of penalty time
The Leafs are not known for their strong discipline and are usually sent off at least five times per match
- Toronto wins 53.8% of faceoffs
The Leafs look great at the dot and take most of the faceoffs.
Utah Hockey Club
USACurrent form
In its debut season, Utah is very close to the outsiders of the Western Conference. Even now, the team is in 12th place in the standings, and it will have to work hard to climb back into the playoff zone. Let us emphasize that before this, it demonstrated very unsuccessful results and even faced a series of three defeats. Thus, on home ice, the club lost to Vegas (2:4) and Washington (2:6), and began its away series of matches with a “dry” defeat to Boston (0:1). Fortunately, in the final confrontation with Pittsburgh, Utah still found the strength and dealt with its counterpart with a score of 6:1.
However, Andre Tourigny team rarely manages to score more than two goals this year, as a rule, because they mostly play second fiddle and try to play on the counterattack. Clayton Keller is the team leading scorer, but even he hasn't reached the 20-point mark in the goal+pass system yet.
Utah currently has a lot of problems, including playing in unequal teams. Thus, the team has only 76% neutralization of the opponent majority, and it itself does not use the numerical advantage in the best way and now has 17% of realization, because of which it misses most of its attempts to score. Also, do not forget that on the road this season the club has won only two victories in regular time, although it has already played 11 games.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ingram, Marino, Durzi will not play in the upcoming meeting due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Utah has a 16-24 record in goals scored and allowed in the second period.
The team plays poorly with the far benches and concedes the most goals during the second period.
- Utah averages 12.45 penalty minutes
By this measure, the team is one of the most undisciplined in the league today.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches involving visitors, the first period was unproductive
1.95Bet 2nd period: guests will score
In three of the four games, Utah scored goals in the second period.
1.55Tip and bets
If Toronto had no roster problems and didn't have such a huge number of injured players, it would probably be considered a clear favorite in the confrontation with Utah, and the visitors would have absolutely no chance of a favorable outcome. However, the difficulties with the roster equalize the chances of the teams, so Tourigny team can take advantage of this and cling to points. Especially since the "leaves" have recently been winning outside of regulation time. We think that even if Utah loses, it will do so either in overtime or in a shootout.
Forecast - Utah win with Asian handicap (+1) on pucks with odds of 1.75
Bet on individual total
For Utah, the best matches are when it misses no more than one or two goals. Toronto has serious losses among forwards at the moment. Of course, in the last matches the Leafs demonstrated good efficiency, but they did not distinguish themselves by more than three goals scored. Utah, in turn, even in the last match with the Pens were left with only one missed goal, so it is unlikely to miss four times in the upcoming confrontation.
We bet on Toronto individual total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.70
Total Bet
Toronto games are not as exciting as they used to be, and usually have fewer than six or seven goals scored. Utah also prefers this style of play, and often has difficulty converting its chances. Incidentally, the hosts have not had more than six goals in any of their last ten games, so it makes sense to bet on the under total.
We take the total under 6.5 pucks with a coefficient of 1.52
Upcoming matches
Read more
Tips from experts
Betting predictions stat
