Liontips
Ottawa vs. Calgary: NHL Match Prediction
Ottawa will play a home game against Calgary on November 26. The Senators are on a long losing streak and can't seem to get their act together, while the Flames, on the contrary, are in almost their best shape of the season. The previous game between the clubs also ended in favor of the Flames with a score of 6:3. Will Travis Green team be able to pull themselves together and please the stands with a beautiful game? Is it worth betting on their success? Find the answers to these questions in the forecast
Command Analysis
Ottawa Senators
CanadaCurrent form
Ottawa has become one of the main outsiders of the Eastern Conference and is located in the penultimate position of the tournament table. It has earned a total of 17 points and in the near future may even end up in the last line, since it is ahead of the same Montreal by only one point. Since the beginning of the season, the Senators have managed without a series of failures, but now it has caught up with them, and they have suffered five defeats in a row. After a mediocre match against Carolina (0:4) on the road, Travis Green squad returned to their home court, where they lost to Edmonton (2:5), Vegas (2:3) and could not cope with Vancouver (3:4).
In the last encounter with the Canucks, they were very close to saving themselves from a 1-4 deficit, but they simply didn’t have enough time for a full-fledged comeback. Linus Ullmark didn’t have his best game, missing four shots out of 21. In addition, Ottawa still has problems with scoring and creating chances in the 5-on-5 format.
But they are doing just fine with the power play, as they currently rank fifth in the league in terms of power play and have a 28.8% power play rate. Even in the game against the Canucks, the Senators scored two of their three goals on the power play. It seems that the club is simply lacking confidence in its own strength, so any victory in the near future could certainly be the starting point for a successful streak.
Disqualifications and injuries
Noah Gregor will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- The Senators are receiving 9.2 penalty minutes per game.
On average, Canadians break the rules at least four to five times per game.
- Ottawa has a 78.7% power play neutralization rate
According to this indicator, the club ranks 14th in the league.
Calgary Flames
CanadaCurrent form
Calgary has improved its position in the standings significantly and is in fourth place in the Western Conference, earning 27 points. The team faced an unpleasant period that lasted almost a month, but recently managed to “find” its game again and produced an excellent series of four victories. At the same time, if on the road it failed match after match, then upon returning to the home court, the Flames dealt with Nashville (2:0), the Islanders (2:1 SO), and also in a tough fight proved superiority over the Rangers (3:2) and Minnesota (4:3 SO).
It should be noted that all their victories were achieved in a tense struggle, and the matches often ended either with a difference of one goal, or outside of the regular time. By the way, the club remains one of the least productive in its conference, so it is rare to see more than two goals from it. That is why if it misses three times, it usually cannot get points.
The "fires" also have a hard time playing away from home, as they have only won one game in regulation time throughout the season. As a rule, the third period is the most successful for them, when they have 28:19 in goals scored and missed, but they cannot boast of such efficiency in the remaining periods. In addition, the Huskies do not perform well in the majority, so they have less than 20% of the extra time.
Disqualifications and injuries
Anthony Mantha will not take part in the fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Calgary wins 44.7% of faceoffs
The Lights have looked poor at the point this season and have allowed opponents to win most of their faceoffs.
- Calgary has scored 11 goals in the first period all season
The club is second to last in terms of total goals scored in the first period
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.82Bet 2nd period: home team to score
In four of their five games against Calgary, the home team scored goals in the second period.
1.41Tip and bets
For Ottawa, the matchup with Calgary is a great opportunity to get off a losing streak, even though the Flames are in good shape right now. Most of their previous wins have been close and narrow anyway. At the same time, the Flames have been pretty weak on the road this season and have dropped points quite often. The Senators last lost to their opponent on their home ice almost three years ago, so it makes sense to bet on them to win with a handicap.
Prediction - Ottawa win with handicap (0) for 1.65
Bet on individual total
In many cases, Calgary has problems with scoring and cannot open the opponent defense more than twice. The team has a rather closed style of play this season, since it does not have a number of bright attack leaders. It is no coincidence that in four of the previous five matches, the Flames have scored fewer than three goals. We think that on the road and especially the Huskies will have a hard time scoring three times.
We bet on Calgary individual total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.90
Total Bet
Calgary seven previous games ended with fewer than six goals scored. It likely that the team will try to play in a similar vein in the upcoming matchup with Ottawa. The Senators, in turn, have not shown any crazy scoring lately and have had difficulties in attack, so it makes sense to play the total under.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.05
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