Liontips
Boston vs. Detroit: NHL Match Prediction
Boston will host Detroit on December 4 at home. The Bears can’t find stability and haven’t been able to put together a winning streak lately. The Wings haven’t looked their best in the previous two games either and have been losing points. Previous meetings between the teams have often ended in favor of the Bruins, and just over a week ago the hosts were able to prove their superiority over their opponents. What bet should you place on the upcoming confrontation? You’ll find out from our forecast
Command Analysis
Boston Bruins
USACurrent form
Boston is outside the playoff zone and currently occupies the ninth place in the Eastern Conference. The team has been demonstrating inconsistent results throughout the season. Even after the change of head coach, things did not get much better. Let us recall that earlier they lost to Vancouver on their home ice (0:2), after which they dealt with the Islanders (6:3) on the road and, returning to their home arena, lost to Pittsburgh (1:2). Fortunately, in the last confrontation with Montreal, the Bruins finally pulled themselves together and proved their superiority over their opponent with a score of 6:3.
Oddly enough, in two of the previous three cases, the "bears" managed to score six goals, although they usually have serious problems with creating and converting chances and cannot open up the opponent defense more than twice, especially when playing against the leaders. It should also be noted that the club power play conversion rate continues to deteriorate. Today, Joe Sacco team is in last place in this indicator and has only 11.7% of power play conversion, which is, of course, a weak value for the league.
The worst period for Boston is the third one, where they have 15:25 in goals scored and goals allowed. That is why even if a team earns an advantage in the first 40 minutes of a match, they can “give it away” to their opponents in just the third period.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lindholm will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Boston has a 78.5% power play neutralization rate
The team has been weak in the penalty kill this season and ranks 20th in that category.
- The Bruins average 27 shots on goal.
The "Bears" show low throwing activity.
Detroit Red Wings
USACurrent form
Detroit is in 12th place in the Eastern Conference and has earned 22 points in total. The team has not been stable this season either, but it does not look that bad and can sometimes surprise. With such a roster, it should, of course, be in the playoff zone, but it lacks consistency. Let us recall that before this, the Wings managed to win two victories against the Islanders (4:2) and Calgary (2:1 OT), but then, in front of home fans, they lost to New Jersey (4:5) and Vancouver (4:5 OT) in a tough fight.
By the way, at the moment the club remains one of the least productive in the league and usually barely scores more than two goals. That is why most of the matches in which Derek Lalonde team concedes three or more times end in favor of the opponent. Oddly enough, Detroit looks weak in the second game segment this season, where it currently has 19:26 in goals scored and conceded.
It also worth remembering that the Red Wings remain the league worst at 3-on-5 and 4-on-5 play, with a mere 65.2 percent power play neutralization rate. But this year has been good for Alex DaBrincat, Dylan Larkin, and Lucas Raymond, who have all scored at least 20 in goals and assists.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kane, Lyon and Talbot will not take part in the upcoming fight.
Interesting trends for betting
- Detroit has a 27.8% power play percentage.
The team currently ranks fourth in the league in this indicator.
- Detroit is getting 6.92 penalty minutes per game.
Typically a team is sent off at least three or four times per game.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches involving the home team, the first period was productive
1.85Bet 3rd period: guests will score
In three out of five matches, the visitors scored goals in the third period
1.62Tip and bets
Boston hasn't been showing the best results lately and hasn't been consistent. Detroit has been giving its opponents a decent fight in previous games and has often earned points. Almost all head-to-head matches between the clubs are evenly contested, so we wouldn't consider the hosts to be the clear favorites in this match. Plus, the Wings make great use of their numerical advantage, which could help them a lot in a match with the undisciplined Bruins. We think the visitors won't lose by more than one goal.
Forecast - Detroit win with Asian handicap (+1.5) on goals for 1.65
Bet on individual total
Detroit in most cases ends up with a small number of missed pucks. Boston, in turn, in many matches has problems with creating and implementing chances. By the way, only in two matches out of ten did Joe Sacco team manage to score more than three goals. In addition, in a recent meeting with the same Red Wings, the Bruins scored only two pucks. Considering the problems of the hosts with implementing chances, it makes sense to take their individual total.
We bet on Boston individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.65
Total Bet
The upcoming match will most likely be under. Detroit is not used to forcing the issue, and Boston usually plays closed hockey with such opponents. In addition, the meetings between the clubs are always held in a power struggle. In their matches, you can see a lot of power struggle and actions in the middle zone, so we suggest betting on the minimum number of goals.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.00
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