Mingachevir vs Gabala: Azerbaijan Championship Match Prediction
Mingachevir and Gabala will play in the 11th round of the Azerbaijan First League on December 24. The visitors are the sole leaders in the standings, ahead of their closest competitor by four points. The hosts are the main outsider of the championship and have very little chance of success against a recent participant of the Premier League. Who will win the confrontation between the first and last teams of the championship? The answer is in our forecast.

Command Analysis

Energetik Mingacavir

Current form
Mingachevir finished the last two seasons in the bottom half of the table, and it is unlikely that this will change now. The hosts are the main contenders for relegation and occupy the last place in the league, having only six points after 10 matches. The team won its only victory in the first round, beating Baku MOIK away (2:1). In recent matches, the club has alternated draws with defeats. Having shared points with Difai Agsu (3:3) and Imishli (0:0), the outsider immediately suffered a major defeat from Karvan (0:5).
Disqualifications and injuries
The hosts have no problems with their lineup before the match with the league leader.
Interesting trends for betting
- The hosts have failed to score a single goal in their last two matches.
- The team has not won a single game in the last five matches.

FK Qabala

Current form
Gabala played in the Premier League last season, but failed to maintain their place in the elite, finishing last. The team was nine points behind the penultimate Kapaz. Now the club is trying to get back and it does not seem that anyone can stop them. After 10 matches, the visitors have 26 points, 19 goals scored and zero goals conceded. The team from Gabala suffered their only defeat in the national cup, from where they were eliminated, losing to the national champion, Qarabag (0:2). After that, they managed to rehabilitate themselves in front of the fans thanks to victories in the championship over Jebrail (2:0) and Lokbatan (3:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
The visitors have no problems with their lineup before the match with the main outsider.
Interesting trends for betting
- The team did not concede a single goal in the first league
- Three of the last four championship matches involving Gabala saw red cards
Trends
Bet At least one team will not score
This bet played in all of Gabala matches in the championship
1.70Bet Exact score 0:2
The only face-to-face meeting ended with this score
5.50Tip and bets
It is unlikely that the guests will have any problems in this match. The teams are of completely different levels - the hosts can barely cope with the First League level, and the guests are quite capable of playing at the level of the top division. Most likely, the team from Gabala will prove its superiority in the away match and take away easy three points.
Our forecast is Asian handicap (-1.5) on Gabala for 1.95
Bet on total
The visitors have not conceded from their first league opponents yet and it is unlikely that the main outsider of the championship will be able to interrupt this trend, because Mingachevir is extremely weak in attack. At the same time, the hosts will do everything to avoid a rout on their home field, which may well happen, since Gabala rarely spends much energy in first league matches.
Our prediction is under 2.5 goals for 2.25
Bet on the first half
The visitors will try to get ahead as quickly as possible to avoid unnecessary nerves in the second half. It is unlikely that the hosts will be able to cope with the attacking onslaught of the favorite in the first 45 minutes.
Our prediction is a first half victory for Gabala at 1.75