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Arnaldi vs Popyrin. ATP Brisbane Match Forecast
Arnaldi and Popyrin will meet in the first round of the tournament in Brisbane on December 31. Arnaldi certainly feels much more confident on slow clay courts. His style of play, based on long rallies and defensive actions, is best suited to this surface. Therefore, Popyrin will have an advantage on the fast hard of Brisbane. What bets should you pay attention to in the upcoming meeting? - find out in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Matteo Arnaldi
ItalyCurrent form
Arnaldi had a bad end to last season. The Italian tennis player left tournaments in Tokyo, Shanghai, Basel and Paris at an early stage. Last season, Matteo had 17 wins and 13 losses on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi is a pronounced clay court player. Since childhood, the Italian has played most of his matches on clay courts, which has affected his playing style. Serve is not one of his strong points, but his forehand, especially diagonally, looks very confident. Matteo backhand is two-handed and quite powerful, but he often tries to hit with his comfortable hand, making a run under the forehand.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is currently ranked 37th in the world. The 23-year-old Matteo showed his best result last season at a major tournament in Montreal. He managed to reach the semi-finals of that competition.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi was a quarter-finalist at last year Brisbane event.
Alexei Popyrin
AustraliaCurrent form
Popyrin finished the last season at the Masters in Paris, where the Australian reached the third round - at this stage he lost to Karen Khachanov. In 2024, Alexey won 17 times and lost eight times on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Popyrin stands out for his versatile style of play, suitable for any surface. Although the Australian prefers fast courts, he is capable of demonstrating high results on clay as well. Popyrin tries to avoid long rallies, trying to finish them in 3-4 strokes, which makes his game aggressive and sharp. The tennis player main weapon is a powerful serve, which provides many aces and a high percentage of points won on the first serve. However, a weak game on the return often prevents the Australian from effectively converting break points.
Current indicators in the tour
Popyrin is currently ranked 24th in the world. The Australian won the Montreal tournament last season. It was his third ATP title in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
5 of Popyrin last 6 matches have been played in straight sets.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Arnaldi last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.32Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Popyrin 5 previous matches
1.81Tip and bets
Arnaldi prefers to play on slow courts, while Popyrin specializes more in playing on fast surfaces. Therefore, the Australian will have an advantage in the upcoming match. Plus, we should not forget that Alexey will be playing in front of home fans.
Our prediction is Popyrin victory with odds of 1.74
Bet on total
Arnaldi and Popyrin have met three times in their careers. All three matches were "top". Most likely, the upcoming match between them will also be played "top".
The second forecast is total over 23 games for odds of 1.84
Bet on the first set
Three of Popyrin last five matches have seen more than 9.5 games played in the first set. The upcoming match against Arnaldi will likely also start with a "top" first set.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.56
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