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Colorado vs. Montreal: NHL Match Prediction
Colorado will meet Montreal on home ice on January 5. The Avalanche are in great shape and are on a long winning streak, so they definitely do not intend to lose to the Tricolors on their home ice. However, the previous match between the clubs last season ended in favor of the Canadians in a tough fight. Much has changed since then, and now the hosts have a better chance of earning two points. Is it worth betting on their success? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
Colorado Avalanche
USACurrent form
Colorado is in fifth place in the Western Conference and has 48 points. The team continues to improve its position in the standings and wins match after match. We emphasize that at the moment it is on a series of six victories and has not known the bitterness of defeat for two weeks. Let us recall that earlier on the home court the Avalanche dealt with Seattle (5:2), on the road they beat Utah (4:1), after which, with the support of their stands, they again dealt with Winnipeg (5:2) and Buffalo (6:5 OT).
In most cases, the Avalanche show excellent performance and open up the opponents' defense at least three or four times. This is not surprising, because the club has one of the most powerful attack lines in the league, and three players on its roster are currently among the top 15 scorers in the championship. In the near future, Jared Bednar team may even take first place in the number of goals scored per season.
It is worth mentioning that if Colorado does not play the first twenty minutes in the best way and often loses in it, then in the third period it significantly improves and has a ratio of 58:42 in goals scored and goals conceded. Plus, the Avalanche have no problems with the game in the majority and now have 23.7% of the extra man conversion rate, occupying the tenth position in the league in this indicator.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ivan, Poolman, Wood, Chulington, Nichushkin and Wedgwood will not take part in the upcoming meeting due to injury
Interesting trends for betting
- Colorado gets 6.77 penalty minutes
The team monitors its discipline and rarely gets sent off more than three times
- Colorado wins 44.5% of faceoffs
The Avalanche remain one of the worst teams in the league in terms of faceoff win rate.
Montreal Canadiens
CanadaCurrent form
Montreal is in 12th place in the Western Conference and has already moved away from the last line of the tournament table. The Canadians continue to please fans with their results and recently had a series of three victories. However, after successful matches against Florida (4:0), Tampa (5:2) and Vegas (3:2), they unexpectedly lost to Chicago on the road with a score of 2:4. Recently, they have demonstrated excellent performance and opened the defense of many opponents at least three or four times.
As a rule, the "tricolors" are most effective in the second twenty minutes, in which they have a ratio of 42:42 in goals scored and conceded. Nevertheless, if the team is doing more or less well at home, then on the road they earn points much less often. Thus, throughout the entire season, the team of Martin Saint-Louis was able to win only six victories within 60 minutes when playing away.
However, it is worth mentioning that Montreal has improved its power play and has become much better at using its numerical advantage. Thus, the club has a 21.7% power play conversion rate and ranks 17th in the league in this indicator. Nick Suzuki remains the leading scorer on the team and has already earned a total of 35 points in the goal + pass system. Literally a couple of points behind him is Cole Caufield, who has also distinguished himself with a great game this season and has good indicators.
Disqualifications and injuries
Savard and Laine will not be able to take part in the upcoming fight due to injury
Interesting trends for betting
- Montreal is receiving 9.97 penalty minutes per game.
On average, Canadians are sent off at least five times per game.
- Montreal has an 82.4% power play neutralization rate
The Tricolors show a decent game in the minority and occupy eighth place in the league in this indicator.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In the three previous matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.68Bet 3rd period: home team win
In the five previous meetings, the hosts achieved success in the third period
1.88Tip and bets
We think that Colorado will be able to earn two points in this match and will once again please the fans with a quality game. The Avalanche are superior to their opponent in class and continue to win match after match within 60 minutes. Montreal, in turn, has shown rather weak results on the road this season and has achieved almost no success. Plus, literally in the last match, the Tricolors lost to Chicago, which also speaks of the choice in favor of the home team.
Prediction - Colorado win for 1.65
Bet on individual total
Colorado shows excellent efficiency and in most cases scores at least three or four goals. Avalanche have scored at least four goals in their last six games. Montreal is used to playing open hockey, so sometimes neglects its defense, preferring counterattacks. Considering that the visitors have conceded four goals even against the Hawks, it makes sense to bet on the hosts' individual total.
We take the individual total of "Colorado" over 3.5 goals for 1.70
Total Bet
Matches involving Colorado are often spectacular and feature a large number of goals scored. Colorado has one of the most powerful attack lines in the league and skillfully opens up the opponent defense, but it also misses a lot, even when playing on its own ice. Montreal also plays many games on opposite courses and tries to score as much as possible. Based on this, we bet on the total over.
We bet on total over 5.5 goals for 1.53
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