Liontips
Toronto vs. Philadelphia: NHL Match Prediction
On January 6, the NHL championship will feature a meeting between Toronto and Philadelphia. The Leafs have shown excellent results recently and have often pleased their fans, unlike the Flyers, who alternated successful matches with defeats. Bookmakers consider the home team to be the favorites in this confrontation. Indeed, they have finished their last matches against the Flyers at home in their favor. However, is it worth betting on the Leafs' success this time? You will find out from the forecast.
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto has improved greatly over the last month and significantly improved its position in the standings. The team is in second place in the Eastern Conference and is now literally three points behind the leader, Washington, so it can already claim first place in the near future. Note that compared to the start of the season, the club has begun to have much more frequent winning streaks and now, as a rule, deals with opponents within regular time, without transferring the game to overtime.
Not long ago, of course, the "Leafs" lost to the "Capitals" (2:5) on their home ice, but after that they were able to deal with the "Islanders" twice (3:1 and 2:1), and also proved their superiority over "Boston" in the final meeting with a score of 6:4. Incidentally, in most matches, Craig Berube team began to demonstrate decent efficiency and open up the opponents' defense at least three times.
On home ice, the team, in general, plays very powerfully, since before this they managed to win 15 victories within 60 minutes, while on the road they won only seven victories. Also, the Leafs act more variably in the 5x3 and 5x4 formats and already have 20.7% of the extra man conversion, although at the start of the season they had many problems with this aspect of the game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Jarnkrok, Stolarz, Holmberg, Klingberg and Hakanpaa are on the injured list
Interesting trends for betting
- Toronto gets 7.75 penalty minutes per game
Typically, the "leaves" are removed at least four times per game.
- Toronto has a 53-34 goal-to-goal ratio in the second period.
The Leafs are playing at a high level in the second twenty minutes and often score goals in it.
Philadelphia Flyers
USACurrent form
Philadelphia remains outside the playoff zone, but due to the high density of the standings, it can claim to be in the top eight if it manages to put together a small winning streak. At the moment, it occupies the 13th position in the Eastern Conference and is literally a couple of points behind the eighth line. This season is definitely more successful for the club than the last one, since it pleases fans with positive results much more often.
However, the Flyers have been unable to find stability over the past two weeks and continue to alternate successful matches with defeats. They previously dealt with Anaheim (3:1) on the road, lost to Los Angeles (4:5), and after a big and confident victory over San Jose (4:0), they again lost on the road to Vegas with a score of 2:5. Of course, it must be said that the team is playing a grueling and long series of away matches, within which it is simply impossible to maintain the highest level of concentration and distribute forces wisely.
In general, Phil game on away courts is not going well, as it has managed to win only four victories in regulation time throughout the season, and its net usually contains at least three or four pucks. Incidentally, the most disastrous performance of John Tortorella team is the second game period, in which it has a ratio of 36:55 in goals scored and conceded.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ryan Ellis will be out of the upcoming clash due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Philadelphia is receiving 8.18 penalty minutes per game.
Typically a team is sent off at least four times per game.
- Philadelphia has a 15.9% power play percentage.
According to this indicator, the "pilots" are in 28th place in the league.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was unscoring
1.85Bet 3rd period: home team win
Toronto has had a third-period win in its last three games
2.15Tip and bets
In our opinion, Toronto should get two points in this matchup. The Leafs currently look much stronger than their opponent and, unlike their rival, they played on their home court, while Philadelphia is still playing on the road and has already spent a lot of energy. Plus, the Flyers lost 2:5 to Vegas the day before and showed a rather lackluster game, while the Leafs have improved a lot lately and often achieved success within regulation time.
Prediction - Toronto win for 1.90
Bet on individual total
Toronto scores a lot in games with such opponents. Philadelphia plays exclusively open hockey on the road, so more than three pucks often end up in its net. In addition, the game of goalies often raises questions, they do not cope with their duties in the best way and make many mistakes. Having a powerful attack line, the hosts should score at least four times in this matchup.
We bet on Toronto individual total over 3.5 goals for 1.95
Total Bet
Previous meetings between the teams have been spectacular and often featured six or more goals. Toronto is not afraid to play on the counter, especially when playing on home ice, and even finished the last match against Boston with ten goals scored. The Flyers, in turn, have also played most of their previous meetings with high-scoring goals.
We take the total over 5.5 pucks for 1.57
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