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Matteo Arnaldi as Novak Djokovic. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match
Arnaldi and Djokovic will meet in the second round of the Masters in Madrid on April 26. The early departure from the Monte Carlo Masters gave Djokovic enough time to fully prepare for the Madrid tournament. The Serbian tennis player traditionally performs successfully on local courts - he has won the title here three times during his career. Will Novak be able to demonstrate a confident start in the Spanish capital? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Matteo Arnaldi
ItalyCurrent form
Arnaldi started at the Madrid Masters with a 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 victory over Borna Choric. In the confrontation with the Croat, Matteo made 13 aces, made three break points and lost two games on his serve. For the Italian, it was the first victory on clay this season with two defeats.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi is a typical specialist in playing on clay, although this season he has not yet played on his profile surface. From a young age, the Italian mainly played on slow surfaces, which is noticeable in his manner of conducting practical jokes. Although serving is not his trump card, his diagonal forehand is stable and dangerous. Matteo uses a two-handed backhand, which has good strength, but at the same time he often tries to run under a more stable forehand.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi won his last title in his career in 2023, winning the competition in Heilbronn. It was the sixth title of his career for the 24-year-old Italian. Matteo is currently in 44th place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi's last five matches have been played in three sets.
Novak Djokovic
SerbiaCurrent form
Djokovic has played only one match on clay this season. He played it as part of the Monte Carlo Masters - Novak lost to Alejandro Tabilo at the start, losing to him in two sets. Last season, the Serb had 16 wins and three losses on the dirt surface.
Professional qualities
Much has already been said about Djokovic's virtues, and they have long been no secret to anyone. His serve technique is considered a benchmark throughout his career and remains a formidable weapon. This season, Novak performed well on the hard court, where he managed to reach the semifinals at the Australian Open and reached the final of the Masters in Miami. It remains for the Serb to demonstrate his skills on the dirt surface.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season, Djokovic won the Olympics in Paris. In total, the 37-year-old Serb has won 99 trophies in his career. Novak is currently in fifth place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Djokovic has won 5 of his last 7 matches.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
12 of Djokovic's last 13 matches have been played in two sets.
1.43IT Djokovic'sbetis less than 13.5
Djokovic has won less than 13.5 games in his last 16 matches.
1.46The Totalbetis less than 22.5
In 6 of Djokovic's last 7 matches, less than 22.5 games were played.
1.78Arnaldi's ITrateis more than 10.5
Arnaldi has won more than 10.5 games in 8 of the last 9 matches.
1.88Tip and bets
After his early departure from the Monte Carlo Masters, Djokovic had plenty of time to properly prepare for the competition in Madrid. Novak had previously won the title three times in his career on the local courts. We believe that the start of this year's tournament will be calm for the Serb.
Our prediction is that Djokovic will win with a handicap of (-4) games at a coefficient of 2.01
Bet on the total
Djokovic is the clear favorite in this matchup. We believe that it will not be difficult for the Serb to pass Arnaldi, who has not shown any special results or games lately.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.91
Bet on the first set
In four of Djokovic's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Arnaldi will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.89
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