Ekaterina Alexandrova - Daria Kasatkina: betting tip for the WTA Madrid match

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Daria Kasatkina will meet in one of the most interesting matches of the third round in Madrid on April 27. The tennis players exchanged victories in the previous two head-to-head matches, who has the best chance of winning today? - you can find out from our betting tip. Which bets should I choose for the principle game?

Command Analysis

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Current form
The transition to the ground had a positive effect on Alexandrova's game and results. The Russian tennis player managed to play in the semifinals of Charleston and Stuttgart. In Madrid, she clearly did not lose her form and beat Danilovich confidently in two sets (6-3, 6-4) at the start. Thus, Ekaterina improved her last year's result on local courts when she sheathed her racket in the second round.
Professional qualities
Ekaterina strives to play fast tennis, to be proactive. When she's in shape, this kind of game brings her success. Now is just such a moment, plus recent successes have clearly increased her confidence in her own abilities.
Current indicators in the tour
In 2025, Alexandrova played 25 matches in the round, in which she won 16 victories and suffered nine defeats. She achieved her greatest success on clay, winning seven of the nine fights.
Interesting facts for betting
- In five consecutive matches with Alexandrova, there was no exchange of games won.
- In Ekaterina's three previous matches, more than nine games were played in the second set.

Daria Kasatkina

Current form
Kasatkina failed to fully prove herself at the first clay tournament of the season in Charleston, where she lost in the 1/8 finals to Kenin (3-6, 6-7). The start in Madrid left a mixed impression. The opponent was Parks, with whom Daria played very unstably, with decent fluctuations, but still, due to a solid technical arsenal, she beat the American in two sets (6-2, 7-5).
Professional qualities
Daria relies on defensive tennis in her game, on reliable actions on the back line. She is distinguished by her endurance, good footwork, and gets the most difficult balls. Plus, she has punches in her arsenal with uncomfortable spins for her rivals.
Current indicators in the tour
Kasatkina is not having her best season. So far, she has only 11 wins with nine losses. Against the background of such unstable results, Daria will leave the top 10 and is now on the 14th place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the last three matches with Kasatkina, the minimum number of sets was played.
- For 11 consecutive matches, Kasatkina did not play more than nine games in the first set.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
In three of the five face-to-face meetings, the rivals played two sets each.
1.51Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In four of Kasatkina's previous five matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.21Tip and bets
At the moment, Alexandrova has a better chance of winning in the confrontation with her former compatriot, who is now competing under the flag of Australia. Ekaterina confidently entered the clay segment of the season, scored two semifinals in Charleston and Stuttgart, the clay in Madrid is fast, which is good for Alexandrova with her desire to play quickly and boldly.
Our betting tip is that Alexandrova will win with a coefficient of 1.64
Bet on the total
On clay this season, Alexandrova won seven matches and scored all the victories with an accurate score of 2-0 in sets. We expect that the upcoming meeting will not last long.
The second bet is a total of less than 21 games in 2.04
Bet on the first set
Kasatkina has an impressive streak of 11 matches, in which no more than nine games were played in the first set. We do not expect that this series will be interrupted in Madrid today.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is less than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.70