Damir Jumhur as Matteo Arnaldi. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Jumhour and Arnaldi will meet in the third round of the Masters in Madrid on April 28. Arnaldi caused a major sensation at the start of the Masters in Madrid by beating Djokovic himself in the second round, and he did it in two sets. Such a victory over the former world number one will surely inspire the Italian and give him additional confidence. Will Matteo be able to make it to the fourth round of the competition? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Damir Dzumhur

Current form
Jumhur defeated Sebastian Baez 1-6, 6-1, 6-2 in the second round of the Madrid Masters. Damir scored one ace against the Argentine, made five break points and lost three games on his serve. In the first round, the Bosnian beat Mattia Bellucci.
Professional qualities
Jumhur is one of the most experienced players on the tour, distinguished by his ability to vary his playing style. Thanks to his extensive experience, he knows how to find a way out of even the most difficult situations, and the combination of a strong serve and strong defense makes him an extremely uncomfortable opponent on any surface, including the ground.
Current indicators in the tour
Jumhur won six trophies last season, including five on clay - he won in Barletta, Ostrava, Zagreb, Santo Domingo and Maya. In total, the 32-year-old Bosnian has won 30 ATP titles in his career. Damir is currently ranked 32nd in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Jumhur has won 6 of the last 9 matches.

Matteo Arnaldi

Current form
Arnaldi beat Novak Djokovic 6-3, 6-4 in the second round of the competition in Madrid. Matteo made five aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve. In the first round, the Italian broke Borna Choric's resistance.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi started out as a specialist on slow courts, and his skills are especially noticeable on clay, which is only worth his recent victory over Novak Djokovic. Matteo is also good on the hard drive. Due to his aggressive forehand, reliable left play and the ability to control the game from the back line, the Italian is now a threat on any type of surface.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi has won six trophies in his career. The 24-year-old Italian won his last title in 2023, winning the competition in Heilbronn. Matteo is currently in 44th place in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
5 of Arnaldi's last 6 matches have been played in three sets.
Trends
The 1st setbetis Arnaldi's victory
Jumhur lost the 1st set in the last 4 matches.
1.44The Totalbetis more than 2.5 sets
5 of Arnaldi's last 6 matches have been played in three sets.
2.45Tip and bets
Arnaldi beat Djokovic in the second round. Moreover, the Italian did it in two sets. Surely a victory over the Serbian will give the Italian additional confidence. We expect to see Matteo in the fourth round of the Masters in Madrid.
Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 2.05
Bet on the total
Jumhur has repeatedly proved its competitiveness on the dirt surface this season. It is unlikely that Damir will leave the court without a fight in the upcoming match. We expect a fight in this pair, which will last for three sets.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.91
Bet on the first set
In three of Arnaldi's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Jumhur will also start with the first game on horseback.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.94