Lokomotiv vs Krylya Sovetov: should we expect a sensation?

Lokomotiv lost to Krylya Sovetov in the most recent cup match between those teams, but will Samara club pull off another upset on May 12? How will the final play out? You'll find the answer in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow

Lokomotiv had a weak first half of the season - Marko Nikolic's side left a lot of energy in the Champions League, but it wasn't enough. Railwaymen left for a winter break on the lower part of the table and were looking bleak. But their game improved during the second part of the season and they are now fighting for the Champions League spot.
Loko is currently on the third spot of the standings and they have a slim chance for the Champions League spot - they are three points behind the second-placed Spartak. But there is possibility for Loko to drop from the European qualification zone altogether - fifth-placed Sochi is only one point behind.
In last game Lokomotiv had a goalless draw in the Moscow derby against Dinamo, which lowered their chances for the Eurocups.

Krylya Sovetov Samara

Krylya Sovetov relegated from the Premier League at the end of the last season. But club from Samara had an obkective to climb back as soon as possible and they fulfilled that task perfectly. Igor Osinkin's side lived up to expectations as a favorite and had already guaranteed promotion back to the Premier League.
Krylya Sovetov is currently on top of the FNL standings with 98 points - runner-up Orenburg is eight points behind. In the Russian Cup Wings were drawn in the group with Rotor and Dinamo Stavropol, eventually, Krylya topped that group without any problems. After that Krylya eliminated Khimki (4:0), Dinamo (2:0) and finally beat Akhmat on penalties after a goalless draw in first 90 minutes.
Trends
СтавкаExact score 2:1
Two out of their last six Lokomotiv's victories over Krylya Sovetov were secured with that score

СтавкаPenalty: yes
In last two Krylya Sovetov matches penalties were given

СтавкаLokomotiv to score in the second half
In four out of their last five matches Lokomotiv scored in the second half

СтавкаKrylya Sovetov to score in the first half
In their last two games Krylya Sovetov scored in the first half

Tip and bets
After a miraculous 11-games winning streak Lokomotiv slowed down a little and performed badly in games against Zenit and Dinamo. But Railwaymen are still a huge favourite for this game, because they have a better and more experienced squad. Krylya Sovetov are also in the good form, but it's hard to expect a win from Samara club over an experienced opponent.
We believe that favourite will win without any problems. Prediction - Lokomotiv to win
Lokomotiv is unlikely to open up since the first minutes, but favourite won't wait until penalties - Railwaymen will do their best to convert their advantage before the final whistle. Krylya Sovetov are also looking good on attack, so they are able to score as well.
Our second bet will be on both teams to score