Liontips
Naomi Osaka - Lucia Bronzetti: prediction for the WTA Madrid match
Last season, Naomi Osaka beat Lucia Bronzetti twice, winning both on clay and hard court. The next meeting between the tennis players will take place on April 22 in the first round of the tournament in Madrid. Will the representative of Japan be able to upset the Italian woman again today? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip
Command Analysis
Naomi Osaka
JapanCurrent form
Osaka has played the hard part of the season with varying success, in fact, she can only get to the finals in Auckland at the beginning of the year and the 1/8 finals in Miami. Naomi was in no hurry to go to the ground, she hadn't played anywhere on the tour since Miami. In Madrid, her best result was the quarterfinals of 2019, and at the next three starts here she invariably sheathed the racket at the end of the second round.
Professional qualities
Osaka has a powerful serve and a strong forehand in her arsenal. Due to this, she succeeds on fast surfaces, but little happens on the ground. Let's note the Japanese woman's not the most confident game at the reception.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Osaka has played 14 matches in the round, in which she won nine and suffered five defeats. In the world ranking, the former first racket of the world now occupies a modest 55th place.
Interesting facts for betting
- In three of the previous four matches, Osaka played in three sets.
- In five of the last six matches, Naomi played more than nine games with her rivals in the second game.
Lucia Bronzetti
ItalyCurrent form
Bronzetti's transition to the ground was a failure. The Italian managed to play in Charleston and Rouen, sheathed her racket everywhere at the end of the first round, and lost to far from the strongest rivals: Zhang Shuai and Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaona. In Madrid, Lucia showed her best result a year ago when she made it to the second round.
Professional qualities
Bronzetti does not have outstanding anthropometric data, cannot play in a forceful manner, but is distinguished by his endurance, always ready for protracted battles. However, it is usually difficult for her against opponents who play in an aggressive manner.
Current indicators in the tour
Lucia is playing a lot this year, but she has no great achievements: only nine wins in 20 matches. She currently ranks 58th in the ranking, and has never risen above 46th place in her entire career.
Interesting facts for betting
- In two face-to-face meetings, Bronzetti lost to Osaka.
- In two of the last three matches, Bronzetti played in three sets.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In three of Osaka's previous five matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.21Bet 2nd set: total less than 9.5 games
This bet has been made in three of Bronzetti's last five matches.
1.58Tip and bets
Osaka has been hesitant to compete on clay throughout her career, and betting on her victories on this surface is a thankless task. However, today we have to play against an opponent who is in an obvious crisis, last week she lost in Rouen to the very weak and little-known Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaona. We think that at the moment, even on clay, Bronzetti has no chance against Naomi.
Our prediction is that Osaka will win with a handicap of (-4) games with a coefficient of 1.75
Bet on the total
Bronzetti doesn't have a strong serve in his arsenal to somehow complicate Naomi's life at the reception. Plus, the Italian is in terrible shape right now. We don't think the game will be long.
The second bet is a total of less than 21 games in 1.78
Bet on the first set
Osaka and Bronzetti played each other twice and in both matches in the first set they did not play more than nine games. We expect that the Japanese tennis player will confidently indicate her advantage at the start.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is less than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.61
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