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Napoli vs AC Milan: prediction for the Serie A match
Napoli and AC Milan lock horns in the 28th round of Serie A on Sunday, March 6. Who will be the winner of this game? Look out for our prediction below.
Command Analysis
SSC Napoli
ItalyNapoli are enjoying a successful season. Right now they are in 2nd place in the Serie A standings, just one point behind the defending champions. The Neapolitans don't score a lot, but they have the best defense in the Italian elite, having allowed only 19 goals in 27 games. The team suffered four defeats this season so far, three of them at the home pitch.
In the Europa League, Napoli failed to pass Barcelona in the Round of 16. The first game ended in a draw, but in the second leg Napoli lost with a score of 2:4. After two consecutive draws against Inter (1:1) and Cagliari (1:1) in Serie A, the hosts defeated Lazio (2:1).
André-Frank Zambo and Hirving Lozano have been ruled out of this fixture.
AC Milan
ItalyAC Milan are right behind their hosts with the same number of points but a worse goal difference. In general, the Rossoneri look solid, but they concede more than one goal per game on average. Milan suffered only one defeat away from home this season, and they also have been the most successful side in attack on their travels.
The Rossoneri recorded draws in the last three games. First, they couldn't beat the weakest team in Serie A, Salernitana (2:2). After that, AC Milan were held to a draw by Udinese (1:1). Due to these lost points, they droped to the 3rd line in the standings.
In the first leg on Coppa Italia semifinal, AC Milan drew against their cross-town rivals Inter (0:0).
Trends
СтавкаCorrect score 1:0
Napoli won the last 2 games against AC Milan with this exact score.
СтавкаNapoli will not concede
Napoli didn't concede in the last 2 head-to-head games.
СтавкаNapoli IT under 1.5
Milan conceded just one goal each of their previous 2 games.
Tip and bets
The cost of a mistake in this game is extremely high. The loser can drop out of the title race, so neither side will be willing to take risks. But since Napoli's defense is more reliable, we will be giving them an edge here. Moreover, AC Milan looked colourless in their recent outings.
Our prediction - Napoli to win
A close game is on the cards, but we think that Napoli will be able to get a narrow win here. They are very good at taking the lead and then keeping the advantage.
Second bet - Napoli to win by 1 goal
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