Tiago Monteiro as Ethan Quinn. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Monteiro and Quinn will meet on April 22 in the final of the qualifying tournament in Madrid. Monteiro, as a specialized groundsman, has a significant advantage over Quinn, for whom the experience of playing on the ground is limited to only 25 matches in his career. This in itself makes the Brazilian the favorite of the upcoming match. In addition, Thiago will be further motivated by the need to defend points for last year's third-round exit on the courts of Madrid. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Thiago Monteiro

Current form
Monteiro was stronger than Mitchell Krueger in the first round of qualifying in Madrid - 7-5, 6-3. Tiago made eight aces, made four break points and lost one game on his serve in the confrontation with the American. For the Brazilian, it was his 13th victory on clay this season, with seven losses.
Professional qualities
Monteiro's main weapon is a powerful and accurate forehand, around which his entire game strategy is built. Tiago represents the classic style of clay tennis, preferring positional play on the back line. The Brazilian's backhand is less confident and is more often used defensively, which is why he often shifts to shoot from the forehand.
Current indicators in the tour
Monteiro has won 14 trophies in his career. The 30-year-old Brazilian won his last title in 2023, winning the dirt challenger in Campinas. Tiago is currently ranked 94th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Last season, Monteiro managed to reach the third round on the courts of Madrid.

Ethan Quinn

Current form
Quinn scored a 6-3, 6-4 victory over Billy Harris in the first round of qualifying in Madrid. Ethan made seven aces in a duel with the Briton, made two break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. The American has four wins and two losses on clay this season.
Professional qualities
Quinn feels confident on fast surfaces, where he can easily score points due to his powerful serve and aggressive shots. His height gives him an advantage when serving, making it one of the key elements in his game. Ethan E's forehand is another effective component, especially dangerous on high-speed courts.
Current indicators in the tour
Quinn won the Champaign Indore Challenger last season, thus winning his fourth career title. The 21-year-old American is currently ranked 119th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Quinn has won 4 of the last 6 matches.
Trends
Monteiro'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Monteiro won with a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 6 of the last 7 matches
1.29The 1st setbetis Monteiro's victory
Quinn has lost the 1st set in 6 of the last 7 matches.
1.79Tip and bets
Monteiro is a specialized primer and due to this, he will have a significant advantage over Quinn, who has played only 25 matches during his career on clay. Moreover, on the clay courts of Madrid, the Brazilian needs to defend last year's exit to the third round.
Our prediction is that Monteiro will win by a factor of 1.88
Bet on the total
There are questions about Monteiro's playing conditions. Perhaps the Brazilian will be able to beat Quinn in the upcoming match, but it is unlikely that this victory will be easy. Most likely, the winner in this confrontation will be determined based on the results of three sets.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 2.05
Bet on the first set
In Quinn's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Monteiro will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.99