Swiatek vs Pegula: prediction for the WTA Doha
On February 18, Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will fight each other for the title of Doha tournament. Will Polish player keep the trophy? The answer is in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek won her most recent title at San Diego on November 2022. After that success, Polish player didn't win a single tournament. She got eliminated from Australian Open in round of 16, losing to Elena Rybakina (4:6, 4:6).
Iga intends to finally end the cold spell, winning the Doha tournament. She played only two matches on her way to the final, beating Collins and Kudermetova by the same score of 6:0, 6:1. Quarter-final opponent, Belinda Bencic, withdrew herself from the match.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula seriously improved her result in Doha - in the previous season she reached only round of 16. American player will return to Top-3 of the world rankings regardless of the result.
Pegula played three matches on her way to the final. She managed to beat Ostapenko in three sets (6:2, 2:6, 7:5). After that, she secured victories over Haddad Maia (6:3, 6:2) and Sakkari (6:2, 4:6, 6:1).
Trends
Ставка Sets performance: 2>1
Four of six latest Swiatek's matches went by that scenario

Ставка 1st set: total under 9.5
This bet played in four of six latest head-to-head matches

Tip and bets
At the start of the year Pegula secured a comfortable 6:2, 6:2 victory over Swiatek at the United Cup. We are expecting a different result today. Iga's performance improved in Doha, comparing to Australian tournaments. Polish player put up an ultra-aggressive performance in matches against Collins and Kudermetova, brushing them aside. Jessica is unlikely to withstand against Iga. American player just barely get past Sakkari.
Our prediction - Swiatek to win with a handicap of (-4) games
Swiatek lost only one game in each of two previous matches at Doha. World No. 1 player should win the final match pretty quickly, looking at her current form.
Our second bet is on total under 21 games