Liontips
Real Madrid vs Atalanta: Prediction and Betting Odds 3.05
Real and Atalanta will meet in Warsaw on August 14 in the battle for the UEFA Super Cup. For the "goddess" this will be the first experience, while the "royal club" has the opportunity to become the leader in the number of victories in the Super Cup - will the daring Italians be able to surprise once again, or will the experienced favorite take their next trophy? In the betting tip, we analyzed the form of the teams in detail and chose the most promising bets on this match. Also, star experts Alexander Mostovoy and Roman Pavlyuchenko shared their opinions on the UEFA Super Cup
Command Analysis
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid finished the last season on a high note – winning the Champions League. Carlo Ancelotti’s team approached the next trophy already as champions of Spain, the “gold” was secured ahead of schedule and without the slightest problem. The only trophy that Real Madrid failed to conquer was the Spanish Cup, while in the Super Cup in the winter, the “creamy” team won another victory by crushing Barcelona.
In fact, immediately after the Champions League final, Real Madrid began preparing for the next season. First of all, we are talking about the transfer of Kylian Mbappe, who could have ended up in Madrid several years ago, but only moved this summer. They did not delay the most high-profile transfer of recent years and immediately after the European Championship, the Frenchman began training.
Without their star newcomer " target="_blank">https://www.realmadrid.com/"> Real played several exhibition matches in the US in early August. The results are unlikely to inspire the fans of the Los Blancos - two defeats to Milan (0:1) and Barcelona (1:2) and a 2:1 victory over Chelsea. It should be understood that the squad was far from combat-ready in each case and the coach had the opportunity to experiment.
Experiments were inevitable, in the summer Real lost a key player in the center of the field in the person of Toni Kroos, who ended his career. There are plenty of options to replace the German - in particular, Dani Ceballos actively played in the position in the USA in a pair with Luka Modric, Federico Valverde can also play there. Much less significant in terms of loss of quality is the departure of Nacho - the academy graduate moved to Saudi Arabia.
Disqualifications and injuries
Real's only loss before the Super Cup is David Alaba, but the Austrian has been injured for a very long time and the Los Blancos have adapted to do without his help.
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid could become the record holder for the number of UEFA Super Cup victories
So far, Real Madrid has five UEFA Super Cup wins, the same number as Milan and Barcelona - an excellent incentive to get ahead of their arch-rivals in this indicator.
- In the previous two matches against Atalanta, Real scored in the second halves
In the 2021/22 season, Atalanta reached the Champions League playoffs for the first time in history and immediately found themselves against Real Madrid. In a rather scandalous confrontation, the “creamy” left no chance for the Bergamascos, scoring four goals in two matches, three of which came in the second halves.
- Real Madrid will fail to keep a clean sheet
Real have conceded in three of their last four UEFA Super Cup matches, with each of those goals coming in the second half
Tentative line-up : Carvajal, Rudiger, Militao, Mendy - Valverde, Camavinga, Modric - Rodrigo, Bellingham, Vinicius Junior.
Atalanta
ItalyCurrent form
Atalanta performed more than decently in Serie A last season – it is unlikely that Gian Piero Gasperini’s team could have hoped for more than a ticket to the Champions League, and they coped with this task. Despite the tough competition, the “goddess” finished fourth – a quite decent result, considering the fight on two fronts.
But Atalanta showed its best not in Serie A, but in the Europa League, where it began its journey from the group stage. Having reached the final, the Bargamas were clear underdogs in the confrontation with Bayer, which won the championship and sought to finish the season without defeats. However, it was in the match with the "goddess" that the "pharmacists" not only stumbled, but were routed with a score of 3:0 in Dublin.
In the summer, Atalanta" target="_blank">https://www.atalanta.it/">Atalanta managed to strengthen – they managed to get Nicolo Zaniolo on loan, Mateo Retegui and Ben Godfrey were acquired, and Charles de Ketelaere was bought from Milan after long negotiations. At the same time, there is a high probability of losing Ten Koopmeiners, who is one step away from moving to Juventus, he has not even trained with the team for a long time.
Unlike their opponent today, Atalanta did not play many friendly matches, limiting themselves to three matches. The “goddess” failed to win any of them – two defeats to St. Pauli (0:3) and Parma (1:4), as well as a 2:2 draw with AZ Alkmaar.
Disqualifications and injuries
Atalanta have a number of very serious losses ahead of the UEFA Super Cup match. First of all, we are talking about Gianluca Scamacca, who has a serious injury, and Ten Koopmeiners, who is completing his transfer to Juventus. Two key players, due to whose quality play they were able to achieve such success last season. Also out of the game are Nicolo Zaniolo and Giorgio Scalvini.
Interesting trends for betting
- Atalanta will fail to win the trophy
Atalanta have lost five of their last six finals. The “goddess” have lost five times in a row in the Italian Cup, and they have only managed to win one final match, in the last Europa League – their experience in final matches is not the most successful, which cannot be said about their opponents.
- Atalanta to concede in second half
In all three friendly matches before the UEFA Super Cup, Atalanta conceded in the second halves – six of the nine goals conceded came in the second half.
- Don't expect a draw
Atalanta were the most uncompromising team in Serie A last season, drawing only six matches.
Tentative line-up : Musso - Djimsiti, Khin, Godfrey, Kolasinac - Pasalic, de Ron, Ederson, Ruggerri - Lookman, de Ketelare.
Trends
Bet Exact score 2:1
Real Madrid's last two matches ended with this score
7.60Bet Real Madrid to score in the second half
In the last two matches between the clubs, this bet was successful
1.39Bet Atalanta to score in the first half
Real Madrid have conceded in the first half in their last two matches
2.75Bet Total Second Half Over 1.5 Goals
In Atalanta's last three matches, this scenario has been realized
1.89Tip and bets
It is obvious that Real Madrid is the absolute favorite of the match. The "royal club" has much more experience at this level, successful experience. There is no point in drawing parallels in the selection of players, Real has a huge advantage in this component, Atalanta is also weakened by the loss of several key players. Without any particular problems, the favorite is capable of achieving a confident victory and becoming one of the leaders in the number of UEFA Super Cup titles won.
We believe that the favorite will win easily. Betting Tip - Asian handicap (-1) for Real . This outcome is offered with a coefficient of 1.85
Bet on total
"Real" will undoubtedly play first number and the defense of "Atalanta" may have problems already in the first half - not the most stable and well-coordinated defense, as the test matches showed. At the same time, despite the personnel losses and the difference in class, the "goddess" is able to resist - the main creator of the team's success is not Gianluca Scamacca, and not even Ten Koopmeiners, but Gian Piero Gasperini, an experienced coach is able to find a solution in such a difficult situation and inspire the team, at least, "Atalanta" will play for a goal of prestige.
Bet - both teams to score. This outcome is offered with odds of 1.79
Combined rate
Real is practically merciless in final matches, including the UEFA Super Cup, and it is quite possible for the “creamy” to win another trophy. Atalanta has a number of very serious personnel losses and is inferior to its opponent in all respects, in such a situation it is hardly worth counting on a sensation. At the same time, the “goddess” is distinguished by a deadly implementation on counterattacks, it will be very difficult even for Real Madrid to beat such an opponent without scoring.
The bet is Real Madrid win and both teams will score. This bet is offered for 3.05
Upcoming matches
Read more
Tips from experts
Today tips
Betting predictions stat
