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Lokomotiv vs. Severstal: KHL Match Prediction
The geographical neighbors will play each other in Yaroslavl on September 23 on the ice of the local Arena-2000. Lokomotiv missed out on a win in the game against Salavat Yulaev at the start of the home series and was unable to strengthen its leadership in the West. Severstal is breathing down the Railroaders' necks, but the Cherepovets team themselves started their road trip with a misfire in Minsk. Will Andrei Kozyrev's charges be able to beat the favorite on their own court? Or will Loko continue to pull away from their pursuers? You will find the answer in the betting tip for the match
Command Analysis
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Russian FederationCurrent form
After their first defeat of the season against Neftekhimik in Nizhnekamsk (0:1), Lokomotiv returned home and beat Lada by a minimal margin (2:1). In the last match, Igor Nikitin's men were very close to beating Salavat Yulaev in the "honey" derby. The "railwaymen" controlled the game and were leading 2:0 by the second break, but they gave in at the end and allowed their opponents to not only tie the score in regulation time, but also take an extra point in overtime (2:3, OT). Despite this, the "locomotives" continue to be the most reliable team in the KHL, conceding only 1.14 goals on average per game.
At the start of the new season, the Yaroslavl team has excellent numbers in the majority. Alexander Elesin's team scored seven goals in unequal compositions, receiving only 25 attempts. It is clear that the Volga team worked on this component in the summer, because in the last regular season they punished their opponents only in 18.6% of cases, while in September of this year they managed to realize 28% of the opponents' penalties. It is noteworthy that the team's top scorer remains defenseman Martin Gernat, who scored six points (2+4) in the goal+pass system.
Disqualifications and injuries
Denis Alekseev and Dmitry Simashev were injured and will not be able to help their team in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lokomotiv's opponents score only 5.6% of shots on goal against the Yaroslavl team
Daniil Isaev has been showing extremely reliable play in the Lokomotiv goal for several seasons now and regularly helps out his teammates.
- The Railwaymen win 55.1% of faceoffs
The hosts play excellently on the point and constantly beat their opponents in this component.
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal alternated wins and losses at the start of the season, but in the last home series of games, Adam Liszka's team managed to produce a streak of positive results. The Cherepovets team lost to Sibir (2:5), but quickly rehabilitated themselves in front of their fans and beat CSKA (4:2), Metallurg (5:2) and Torpedo (5:4) in turn. The current away game for Andrei Kozyrev's team began with an unpleasant defeat in Minsk against the local Dynamo (1:3). The Cherepovets team lacks stability both in defense and in attack. Nevertheless, today the steelmakers occupy second place in the West with ten points after eight starts.
The good results of the visitors can be primarily associated with the realization of shots at the level of 10.3%. The "black and yellow" score 3.12 goals per match, second only to the Moscow "army men" in this component. At the same time, the club from the Vologda region misses quite a lot, although only 26 shots are made on average at the latter's goal. Goalkeepers Konstantin Shostak and Alexander Samoilov have not yet gained the necessary form and at the moment they have only 91.2% of shots.
Disqualifications and injuries
The Cherepovets team is heading to Yaroslavl with its optimal line-up.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Severstal shoots more than 30 times per game
"Seva" usually tries to play attacking and constantly worries the opponents' goalkeepers.
- Cherepovets players earn almost six minutes of penalty time per match
It cannot be said that the "steelworkers" play rough, but they always give their opponents a few attempts to play in the majority.
Trends
Bet 1st period: Lokomotiv wins with a handicap of 0
Lokomotiv won the first periods in three of the previous four matches
1.40Bet 2nd period: total 1.5 more pucks
In Severstal's last three away games, there have been at least two goals from each team in the second periods.
1.78Tip and bets
Lokomotiv looks like a clear favorite on paper, but not everything is so clear-cut. The Yaroslavl team has played three games on home ice, but has never scored more than two goals in a game. The hosts prefer to concede as few goals as possible rather than try to crush and destroy their opponent. Severstal has been showing productive hockey this season. The visitors have not been able to contain their opponents, but the attack of the club from the Vologda Region is always ready to help their partners. We do not think that the steelworkers will become whipping boys on the ice of Arena-2000 on Monday. We suggest betting on a positive handicap of the second.
Betting Tip - victory of " Severstal" with Asian handicap +1.5 for 1.65
Bet on total
Lokomotiv does not play effectively in Yaroslavl, but in games against Severstal this rule does not always work. In the six previous matches between these clubs, only once at least five goals were not scored. The Cherepovets team really likes to score and will force the hosts to open up, or do it themselves. We believe in effective hockey this time too.
We bet on a total of over 4.5 goals for 1.72
Bet on the total of the second period
The Steelworkers, although not very productive on the road, showed the most spectacular hockey in terms of goals scored in the second periods. For Lokomotiv, usually only the first period is completely boring, but in the second 20 minutes, both clubs can start moving faster. Let's bet on the total over from the 20th to the 40th minute.
We take the total of the second period more than 1.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.75
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