Liontips
vs Moscow: KHL Match Prediction
On September 24, a match is set to take place between Barys and Dynamo from the capital. The white-blues have managed to end their losing streak while Barys continues to face defeat after defeat, struggling to find their form. However, after a brief break, they will surely aim to deliver their best performance in front of their fans and secure two points. They have a great opportunity, as the white-blues have just returned from the Far East and may not be in peak physical condition. Will the Astana team capitalize on this? Find out in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent Form
Barys remains the main underdog in the Eastern Conference, sitting at the bottom of the standings with just three points. The reasons for such a poor performance are unclear, especially given that the team has a decent roster and is led by an experienced coach known for guiding teams to the playoffs. However, the quality of Barys's gameplay has been lacking, and there has been no noticeable improvement from game to game.
Recently, the Astana team surprisingly defeated Avtomobilist 2-1 in overtime, but they followed that up with losses to Ak Bars 0-5 and Vityaz 1-4, where they showed no chance of success. Interestingly, David Nemirovski's squad has yet to score more than one goal in any game this season. They are also the only team in the league without a power-play goal despite having 13 attempts.
Injuries and Suspensions
Due to injuries, Antipin, Bolyo, Muratov, and Zhafyarov will miss the upcoming match.
Interesting Betting Trends
- On average, Barys allows opponents to take at least 35 shots per game.
The Astana team spends most of its time on defense, playing a reactive style, which leads to a high number of shots against their goal.
- Barys has a 72.2% success rate in killing penalties.
Barys has struggled in 4-on-5 and 3-on-5 situations, frequently conceding goals while shorthanded in almost every match.
HC Dynamo Moscow
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Dinamo is currently sitting in eighth place in the Western Conference and is eager to climb higher in the standings. However, they have yet to record more than one consecutive win. Their recent away series began with losses to CSKA (1-3) and Admiral (1-4), but they managed to secure a victory against Amur with a score of 2-1. Interestingly, under the guidance of Alexey Kudashev, the team has been struggling with scoring, often failing to net more than one goal in recent matches.
This is surprising, considering Dinamo typically plays an attacking style, with defense taking a back seat. It seems that due to disappointing results, the coach has started to adapt the team's gameplay. Moreover, it is evident that the team is focusing on improving their discipline and minimizing penalties. Notably, in their last match against Khabarovsk, Dinamo was only short-handed twice, whereas they had previously been penalized five times.
Injuries and Suspensions
Currently, there are no injured or suspended players on the roster.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In the second period, Dinamo has a ratio of 6:12 for goals scored versus goals conceded.
The Moscow team struggles in the second period and often falls behind their opponents when the benches are far apart.
- Dinamo boasts a 21.4% success rate on power plays.
Dinamo effectively capitalizes on their power play opportunities, converting roughly one in five chances into goals.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In the last five matchups between these teams, the first period has been high-scoring
2.00Bet 1st period: away team to win
In three out of five games, the home team was behind in the first period
2.25Tip and bets
The White-Blues, despite their current form, appear to be the favorites in this matchup. Barys is struggling significantly and is performing poorly both defensively and offensively. Additionally, the Astana team is dealing with injuries to key players, which has weakened them further. The Moscow team has won most of their recent matchups against the Bars in regulation time. It’s hard to believe that after a heavy defeat to Vityaz, the hosts could secure even a single point against the White-Blues.
Prediction - Dinamo victory at 1.60
Bet on Individual Total
Dynamo allowed only one goal in their last match. On the other hand, Barys has yet to score more than one goal in any game this season. With several forwards sidelined due to injuries, the home team will struggle to find the net even once. It’s quite possible that Hunter Miska will be in top form and prevent the hosts from scoring twice.
We recommend betting on Barys to score less than two goals at 1.75
Bet on Total Goals
Recent encounters between these teams have been low-scoring. Dynamo has shifted their strategy to focus more on defense, leading to fewer goals than before. Barys also tends to play matches with minimal scoring. Based on this, we suggest a bet on the total being under.
Our prediction is total under 5.5 goals at odds of 1.75
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