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Arnaldi to Rune. ATP Paris match forecast
Arnaldi and Rune will meet in the first round of the tournament in Paris on October 29. Rune won the Masters in Paris two years ago - then he beat Novak Djokovic in the final. This season, the Dane indoor performance has not been going well. How successful will his performance be in the tournament? - the analysis of the upcoming match and bets on it are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Matteo Arnaldi
ItalyCurrent form
Arnaldi tried indoors for the first time this season last week, taking part in the tournament in Basel, where the Italian lost to David Goffin in the first round.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi has improved his game on the open hard courts, where his strong first serve gives him a distinct advantage. However, his second serve remains a weak link in the Italian game, and in fast rallies, as a clay court player, he is not yet able to keep up with the high pace.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is a clay court player, although this season he has played most of his matches on outdoor hard courts, where, by the way, he demonstrated his best result this year. In August, we recall, Matteo managed to reach the semi-finals at the competition in Montreal. In the world ranking, the Italian tennis player is in 38th place.
Interesting facts for betting
Four of Arnaldi last five matches have ended in three sets.
Holger Rune
DenmarkCurrent form
Rune had a pretty good result last week at the indoor tournament in Basel. He reached the quarterfinals of that tournament, where he lost to Giovanni Mpeshi. The Dane has six wins in ten matches indoors this season.
Professional qualities
Rune has the technical skills of a top player and has the potential to reach the top level if he strengthens his mental fortitude. On indoor hard courts, Holger shows consistency with a strong serve and well-placed shots on both sides.
Current indicators in the tour
Rune has not won a single trophy this season, but he has played one final this year - he lost to Grigor Dimitrov on the courts of Brisbane in January. Holger is currently ranked 13th in the world, although he was once the fourth racket in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
Rune was a quarterfinalist at the Paris Masters last year.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Arnaldi last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.29Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Rune 5 previous matches
2.03Tip and bets
Rune has traditionally done well in Paris. In 2022, he beat Djokovic himself in the final on the courts here. Last season, he reached the quarterfinals at this Masters. We expect to see a confident start from Holger this year.
Our prediction is a win for Rune with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 1.75
Bet on total
Rune looks like a clear favorite in this match. Most likely, this match will be under complete control of Holger and he will be able to beat Arnaldi in two quick sets.
The second forecast is total under 23 games with odds of 1.83
Bet on the first set
Three of Rune last five matches have seen more than 9.5 games played in the first set. Holger upcoming match against Arnaldi is likely to start with a top-heavy first set as well.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.72
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