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Chelsea vs Arsenal: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds of 3.40
Since 2021, Chelsea have never been able to beat Arsenal in the London derby. This season, the "aristocrats" have demonstrated solid play and results, even ahead of the "gunners" in the Premier League standings and are clearly betting on a victory in the home game on November 10 with a principled opponent. What bets to choose for the game? Not only the analyst of our site, but also star experts Roman Pavlyuchenko and Alexander Mostovoy share their forecast for the derby
Command Analysis
Chelsea
EnglandCurrent form
Chelsea have 18 points in the Premier League after 10 games. This is a significant step up from last season. Undoubtedly, Enzo Maresca, who has identified the main lineup of players and is clearly rotating the squad, made a big contribution to this result. The Aristocrats have only one defeat in the Premier League at home at Stamford Bridge – from Manchester City (0:2) at the start of the season.
In the last round, https://www.chelseafc.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Chelsea failed to beat Manchester United (1:1) away. The game was equal, a draw was quite natural. Since the beginning of the season, the "pensioners" have played three draws, and two of them were on their home field.
The Londoners are doing very well in the Conference League, where they are able to take full advantage of their class advantage over almost all of their opponents. In the last round, Chelsea thrashed Armenian Noah 8-0 at Stamford Bridge. Having collected nine points in three rounds, the "aristocrats" are leading the standings of the third most important European club tournament, ahead of their competitors in goal difference. It should be noted that Maresca used the reserve team in the European Cup game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kellyman will be out of the derby today due to injury. All eyes will undoubtedly be on Palmer, who is injured and it is not known whether he will be able to help his team.
Interesting trends for betting
- Chelsea have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- The Aristocrats have been unbeaten in eight of their previous nine Premier League matches (five wins and three draws)
- Both teams have scored goals in Chelsea last five Premier League games
- Seven of Chelsea last eight league games have seen three or fewer goals scored
Probable line-up : Sanchez - Gusto, Fofana, Colville, James - Caicedo, Lavia - Madueke, Nkunku, Neto - Jackson.
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal are gradually moving away from the fight for the top spot in the Premier League. On the eve of the start of the 11th round, the Gunners are seven points behind the leaders Liverpool and five points behind second-placed Manchester City. Mikel Arteta men have not won a single game in their previous three league games. The losing streak began with a 0-2 away defeat to Bournemouth, where Saliba first-half dismissal played a role. Then there was a draw with Liverpool, when the Londoners twice took the lead but were unable to hold on to the advantage. In the final round, Arsenal lost 0-1 away to Newcastle.
It looks like the team is in a game crisis. Last week there was a 0:1 defeat in the Champions League against Inter. In that match, Arsenal had a significant advantage, the opponent made only one shot on target, the goal was scored from the penalty spot. However, despite several created chances, Mikel Arteta charges were unable to recover. In the overall Champions League standings, the Gunners are in 12th place with seven points.
It is obvious that Arsenal players are approaching the London derby in not the best emotional state. Plus, it was recently announced that sporting director Edu Gaspar, who made a serious contribution to the construction of the current team, will leave the club.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tierney, Calafiori and Tomiyasu are out injured. Sterling is contractually out. Rice is questionable with a broken toe.
Interesting trends for betting
- Arsenal have been losing in the first half in their last two matches
- Nine of the Gunners' previous 13 Premier League games have seen three or fewer goals scored
- Arsenal have not won in three consecutive away matches in the Premier League (one draw, two defeats)
Probable line-up : Raya - White, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber - Odegaard, Partey, Merino - Saka, Havertz, Martinelli.
Trends
Total under six yellow cards bet
No more than six yellow cards have been shown in eight of Chelsea previous nine head-to-head meetings
1.67Bet Arsenal to win on offsides
Chelsea have lost seven of their last nine matches due to offsides
1.85Bet Exact score 1:1
Chelsea have drawn two of their last seven matches with this scoreline
6.10Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet took place in the three previous face-to-face matches
1.62Chelsea to score in first half
In three of their previous five matches, the Gunners have conceded in the opening 45 minutes
2.02Tip and bets
The Londoners have an equal number of points in the Premier League, and are on adjacent lines in the table. Bookmakers do not give anyone a clear advantage in the upcoming derby. Arsenal is currently in a decent decline, has not won in three rounds in a row in the Premier League, but in terms of its potential, it is certainly not inferior to the "aristocrats", especially when it comes to the derby. Chelsea is currently on the move, this is far from the same team that last season lost to the "gunners" with a score of 0:5, while at Stamford Bridge they played a 2:2 draw. We think there is a high probability that today the opponents will not determine the winner.
Our prediction is a draw with odds of 3.40
Bet on total
Since the start of the season, Chelsea have played five home matches in the Premier League and only in the match against Manchester City were there no goals scored. Arsenal are vulnerable away from home, and mistakes can often be seen in defense, but they have an excellent selection of players in attack and are capable of scoring their own goal. We expect in our forecast that the opponents will exchange goals in the derby today.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.63
Bet on the first half
Let pay attention to the fact that Arsenal has been hesitant in their last two matches and suffered first-half defeats to Newcastle and Inter. We think Chelsea is quite capable of taking advantage of this weakness of their opponents on their home field.
Prediction - Chelsea win in the first half with Asian handicap (0) odds of 1.95
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