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Ottawa vs. Anaheim: NHL Match Prediction
On December 12, Ottawa will settle the score with Anaheim on their home court. The Canadians are in good shape and have celebrated success in two of their previous three matches. The Ducks are currently on a three-game losing streak and have previously played weak games. However, they have won many of their previous matches against the Senators. Will the Ducks be able to surprise their opponents this time? What bet should they make? Find the answers to these questions in our forecast
Command Analysis
Ottawa Senators
CanadaCurrent form Ottawa is currently in 13th place in the Eastern Conference and is, one might say, one of the outsiders. However, at the same time, it is literally three points away from the playoff zone, so if it can put together a winning streak, it will certainly end up in the top eight. However, it has problems with this. It should be emphasized that the Canadians have never achieved success in more than two games in a row this year, although they have made a lot of efforts to do so. For example, recently after a defeat by the Ducks (3:4 SO), the Senators proved their superiority at home over Detroit (2:1) and Nashville (3:1), but in the final confrontation with the Islanders they still lost with a score of 2:4. In that meeting with the "islanders" they even opened the scoring and looked good for 40 minutes, but they had a poor last twenty minutes, in which they allowed their opponent to realize the second attempt of the majority of two. This should not be too surprising, since in terms of playing in the minority the club remains one of the worst in the league today and has only 74% of neutralization of the opponent majority. Note that in this indicator it occupies 26th place in the championship. Overall, Travis Green team defensive play leaves much to be desired. Sure, they play an open style of hockey, but they often concede more goals than they can score. Even the excellent play of Tim Stuetzle, who continues to earn points on a regular basis and consistently makes great passes, does not help, which is why he remains the team leading scorer. Disqualifications and injuries
Perron and Zub will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries. Interesting trends for betting
- Ottawa averages 30 shots per game
The Canadians are one of the most "throwing" clubs in the league
- Ottawa has a 28-37 lead in goals scored and allowed in the third period.
The Senators often struggle in the final twenty minutes.
Anaheim Ducks
USACurrent form Anaheim can hardly claim anything serious this season, since from the very beginning it has shown mediocre results and looks much weaker than many clubs. At the moment it occupies the 14th place in the Western Conference, however, unlike its opponent, it is already eight points behind the playoff zone, and this gap will be very, very difficult to reduce with such results. In addition, the team is currently in poor shape and is on a losing streak. After the victory over Ottawa, it could not cope with Vegas (1:4) and Minnesota (1:5) on home ice, and already on the road in the fight it lost to Montreal with a score of 2:3 in a shootout. It should be noted that in most cases the Ducks show low efficiency and cannot open the opponents' defense more than twice. By the way, they remain one of the lowest scoring clubs in the conference. As a rule, the third game segment is the worst for the Ducks, in which the ratio of goals scored and goals conceded is 27:35.
It is also worth mentioning that Greg Cronin team is not doing well in 5x4 and 5x3 formats. The club currently ranks 29th in the league in this indicator and has only a 15.8% power play percentage. The team leading scorer is Troy Terry, who has 21 points in the goal+pass system, and no other player has even come close to this mark.
Disqualifications and injuries
Fabbri, Zegras, Suchanek and Karlsson will not play in the upcoming meeting.
Interesting trends for betting
- Anaheim wins 42.2% of faceoffs
The team remains one of the worst in the league in this regard.
- On average, the Ducks take 27 shots on target.
Anaheim usually shows mediocre shooting activity and often plays second fiddle
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.80Bet 2nd period: guests will score
In three out of five matches, the visitors scored goals in the second period
1.60Tip and bets
In our opinion, Anaheim cannot be considered a clear underdog in this matchup. The teams have met recently, and then the Ducks were able to prove their superiority over the Senators. In general, the last matches often ended in their favor, so they can definitely be called an unpleasant opponent for the Canadians. In addition, this season, the home team has a hard time earning points, and they usually win by one goal or outside of regulation time. We think that this time, the Ducks will be able to give a worthy fight.
Prediction - Anaheim win with Asian handicap (+1.5) on goals for 1.75
Bet on individual total
Ottawa has been left with few goals scored in many of its previous games and has usually not opened up its opponents' defense more than three times. Incidentally, in its four previous games against Anaheim, the Senators have also been unable to score more than three goals. The Ducks, for their part, have a closed style of play and have also managed to score fewer than four goals in three of their last five games.
We bet on Ottawa individual total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.85
Total Bet
The last matches with both Ottawa and Anaheim were low-scoring and often had under-scoring totals. Anaheim itself has serious problems scoring, but it also concedes a few in return. The Canadians, in turn, after a disastrous match against the Islanders, will also be wary of their opponent and will not force the issue.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks for 2.15
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