Liontips
"Karabakh" - "Sumgait": forecast for the match of the Azerbaijan championship
In the 17th round of the Azerbaijan Premier League, Qarabag and Sumgait will play. The hosts intend to win the fourth championship title in a row, but so far they occupy only second place in the table. The visitors occupy the sixth position and are already seven points behind the top 5. Which of the rivals will be able to score tournament points on December 16? The answer is in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Qarabag FK
AzerbaijanCurrent form
"Karabakh" remains the main favorite in the fight for the championship, although it occupies the second place in the standings. The team is only one point behind the leader "Araz", while having two matches in reserve. At the same time, the hosts have little success in the Europa League - only one win in six matches and 33rd place in the standings of 36 clubs. In the last match, the champion of Azerbaijan lost to the Swedish "Elfsborg" (0:1). In the championship, the wards of Gurban Gurbanov also recently lost points, having tied with "Sabah" (1:1) on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
The hosts have no problems with the lineup before the match with Sumgait.
Interesting trends for betting
- The hosts have suffered only one defeat in the Premier League so far
- At home, the team has won two of its last three matches
Estimated line-up: Kohalski - Barros, Mustafazada, Khuseynov, Safargaliev - Romao, Andrade - Bayramov, Benzia, Zubir - Juninho.
Sumqayit
AzerbaijanCurrent form
The visitors had a pretty successful last season, finishing fourth in the championship. The club got a chance to prove itself in European competitions, but were eliminated in the first qualifying round of the Conference League, having forced a fight on Hungarian Fehervar (1:2, 0:0). In the current Premier League, Sumgayit is only in sixth place and can hardly count on getting into the European Cup zone, which is already 12 points away. Nevertheless, the team remains in the fight for the Azerbaijan Cup, where it recently managed to beat modest MOIK (3:1, a.v.).
Disqualifications and injuries
The visitors have no problems with the lineup before the match with Karabakh.
Interesting trends for betting
- The team has lost only one of its last four matches.
- The club lost twice in a row away from home
Estimated line-up: Dzhenetov - Badalov, Kekhat, Khachaev, Milovich, Mossi, Muradov, Guliyev, Rezabala, Sadykhov, Suleimanli.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:0
The hosts' last victory over today opponent was achieved with this score
9.00Bet At least one team will not score
This bet has played in the last three matches between the teams.
1.64Bet Number 1 in the final score
This pattern has worked in the hosts' last two matches
2.03Tip and bets
Sumgait regularly imposes competition on Karabakh in face-to-face matches. This year the teams have met three times and the favorite has never won with a large score. It cannot be said that the hosts are currently in optimal shape - this is proven by the defeat to Elfsborg and the loss of points in the match with Sabah. We believe that a crushing victory from the favorite is not to be expected here.
Our forecast is Asian handicap (+2) on Sumgait for 1.80
Bet on total
The last three head-to-head matches ended with a total under, and in general the hosts have been scoring little in recent matches, as have the guests. Most likely, we will not see more than three goals scored in this confrontation.
Our prediction is total under 3.5 goals at 1.62
Bet on corners
We believe that the opponents will rely on defense in this match, so it is unlikely that the total number of corners will be exceeded.
Our prediction is total under 10.5 corners for 1.67
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