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Minnesota vs. Ottawa: NHL Match Prediction
Minnesota will face Ottawa on home ice on December 29. Bookmakers favor the home team in this matchup, despite recent results that have left much to be desired. The Senators have shown decent results and recently had a winning streak. Previous matches between the clubs have usually ended in favor of the home team. Is it worth betting on the Wilds' success? Find out from our forecast
Command Analysis
Minnesota Wild
USACurrent form
Minnesota remains one of the leaders of the Western Conference and is currently in third place in the standings. However, the team has been showing poor results this month and not long ago was on a four-game losing streak. Let us recall that earlier on home ice it lost to Florida (1:6) and Utah (1:2), and on the road it failed to cope with Winnipeg, losing to it with a crushing score of 0:5 and not scoring a single goal. Fortunately, before Christmas, the Wild dealt with Chicago (4:3), and after the break it made a great comeback against Dallas, winning with a score of 3:2 in overtime.
In general, John Hines' team has been experiencing a lot of difficulties both in defense and in attack lately. As a rule, they have not managed to score more than one or two goals, and in response, they have consistently missed three times. Kirill Kaprizov also did not show the best results, who, by the way, missed the final match, judging by the coach, due to illness.
It is also worth mentioning that Minnesota still cannot find its game in the majority and ranks 22nd in the league in this indicator, with 17.8% of power play. The team plays the worst in the final twenty minutes, in which it has a ratio of 38:39 in goals scored and conceded and almost never comes out "dry" in this period. By the way, on its ice up to this point the club was able to win only five victories in regulation time in 16 matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Middleton, Eriksson Ek and Lauko will not take part in the upcoming fight.
Interesting trends for betting
- Minnesota gets 7.35 penalty minutes
"Savages" are usually sent off at least three times per game
- According to statistics, the "savages" allow 2.94 goals per game on their home ice.
On home ice, the team plays rather weakly in defense and usually concedes three times
Ottawa Senators
CanadaCurrent form
Ottawa is in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and recently managed to get into the playoff zone. And this fact cannot be interpreted as a coincidence, since the team has noticeably improved over the past month and has often pleased fans with excellent results. Let us emphasize that earlier it had a wonderful series of six victories and, of course, wanted to go into the break in a good mood, but it did not work out.
It should be noted that the Canadians had previously dealt with Pittsburgh (3:2 OT) and Seattle (3:0), and in the current series of away games they have defeated Calgary (3:2 OT) and Vancouver (5:4 OT). Their successful streak was interrupted in the confrontation with Edmonton, to whom they lost with a score of 1:3. Despite this, in many cases, Travis Green team was distinguished by a good defensive game and managed with no more than two goals conceded, if you do not take into account its final match against the "killer whales".
By the way, the Canadians themselves make great use of their moments and are noted for their decent efficiency. As a rule, Ottawa plays well in the first and second game periods, but at the same time looks mediocre in the decisive twenty minutes, in which it currently has a ratio of 34:43 in goals scored and goals conceded. It is worth mentioning that the club continues to play powerfully in the majority and is among the top ten in the league in this indicator, currently having 23.7% of the extra man conversion rate.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ullmark, Zub, Amadio and Forsberg will not be able to play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Ottawa averages 8.15 penalty minutes per game.
Typically, Canadians are sent off at least four times per game.
- Ottawa wins 52.8% of faceoffs
The team is not bad in this aspect, and many faceoffs are left to themselves
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three of the last five matches between the clubs, the first period was unscoring
1.80Bet 3rd period: both teams to score
In four of the five head-to-head meetings, both teams scored goals in the third period.
2.15Tip and bets
We think that Ottawa can count on points in this matchup, especially considering the current state of the hosts. Minnesota, of course, was able to interrupt the losing streak with two wins, but the victories were hard won. Plus, there is a high probability that Kirill Kaprizov will not take part in the upcoming match, and without him, the Wild are a completely different team. Also, the last matches between the clubs were equal, and the Senators gave a worthy fight, so it makes sense to bet that they will at least not lose in regulation time.
Prediction - Ottawa won't lose for 1.75
Bet on individual total
Minnesota has had a lot of trouble creating and converting chances in recent games. The Wild have been unable to penetrate their opponents' defense more than twice in most cases. Ottawa has been playing a more closed style of play lately and has been trying to watch its defense, which is why it has been letting in quite a few goals. Based on this, it makes sense to bet on the Wild individual total.
We bet on Minnesota individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.60
Total Bet
Minnesota plays a fairly closed style of play, especially when Kirill Kaprizov is not involved in the games. Ottawa, in turn, also played most of the games without results and ended them with fewer than six goals scored. The clubs work on quality and pay a lot of attention to the game in defense. Plus, the two previous matches between them ended with a total under.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks for 2.10
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