Valencia vs Barcelona: forecast and bets with odds of 5.30
As part of the 1/4 final of the Spanish Cup on February 6, a duel between the teams of Valencia and Barcelona will take place. The hosts are on a four-game losing streak. Will you be able to please your fans with a meaningful game against the best team in Spain? You will find the answer and trending rates in our forecast. In addition, our star expert Alexander Mostovoy shared his opinion about the upcoming match.

Command Analysis

Valencia

Current form
Valencia scored an important 2-1 victory over Celta last Sunday, which allowed them to strengthen their position in the middle of the La Liga table. This success was a timely response to the humiliating 1-7 defeat by Barcelona a week earlier, but Los Ches will face the Catalan grandee again in the quarterfinals of the Spanish Cup. For Carlos Corberan's team, this is a chance not only to take revenge, but also to reach the semifinals of the tournament for the first time since the 2021/22 season. Despite the ambitions, the statistics of the confrontations are not in favor of the hosts: Valencia have not beaten Barcelona since January 2020.
However, a series of two consecutive wins at the Mestalla will be a positive factor for the team. The last time Los Ches won three consecutive home games in the same season was back in March 2021, which makes this match an important test of their current form. In addition, despite the crushing defeat by Barca in La Liga, Valencia has shown character and willingness to fight, which can play a decisive role in the cup competition.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the upcoming match, Valencia will not be able to count on Thierry Correa (knee injury).
Interesting betting trends
- Valencia have scored points in eight of their last ten home games.
- In three of the last four meetings between these teams at the Mestalla, both sides have scored.
- Los Ches have scored at least one goal in six of their last seven Spanish Cup matches.
- In five of the last seven matches with Barcelona, more than 2.5 goals have been scored.
The approximate line-up: Mamardashvili – Fulkye, Gabriel Paulista, Mosquera, Guy – Guillamon, Pepelo, Almeida – Fran Perez, Diego Lopez, Amalla.

Barcelona

Current form
Barcelona continues its unbeaten streak in 2025, strengthening its position in the fight for trophies. On Sunday, Hansi Flick's team scored a minimal victory over Alaves (1-0), reducing the gap at the top of the standings after the unexpected defeat of Real Madrid by Espanyol (0:1). In addition to competing in La Liga, the Catalans are confidently moving along the cup path, striving to win the trophy, which they have won a record 31 times. The last time Barca won the Spanish Cup was in the 2020/21 season and now they hope to repeat their success.
The team's away form is encouraging – nine matches without defeats in all competitions. The Catalans scored in 18 of the 19 away matches this season, and in eight cases – from four goals or more. This is a wake-up call for Valencia, who have already tested the power of Barcelona's attack by conceding seven goals in La Liga at the end of January. Taking into account the attacking potential and confident form of Flick's players, they will try to take advantage of the instability of the hosts and reach the semifinals of the tournament.
Disqualifications and injuries
Barcelona will not be able to count on several key players in the upcoming match: Dani Olmo (shin injury), Gavi (injury), Marc-Andre ter Stegen (knee injury), Andreas Christensen (shin injury), Pau Bernal (knee injury)
Interesting betting trends
- In the last five matches, Barcelona have opened the scoring on three occasions.
- In eight of the ten previous cup matches, the Blue-Garnet scored at least twice.
- In the last three meetings with Valencia, the Catalans have consistently won, scoring at least three goals.
- Barcelona have not lost on the road since November, winning six of their last nine away matches.
Provisional squad: Peña Cunde, Araujo, Inigo Martinez, Balde De Jong, Romeu, Pedri Rafinha, Ferran Torres, Lewandowski
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three face-to-face matches, goals have been scored in each half.
1.76The bet is an accurate score of 1:1
Two of the last ten face-to-face matches ended with this score
12.55Cornerbet: total more than 9.5
This betting option has been used in 2 of the last 4 matches of Valencia
1.99Penalty Shootoutrate- no
In four of the last six face-to-face matches, no penalty was awarded.
1.25Tip and bets
Both teams are approaching the quarterfinals with serious motivation, and their attacking potential makes betting on "both will score" very promising. Barcelona consistently hits the opponent's goal: in 18 of the last 19 away matches, the Catalans have found a way to score, and their style of play presupposes dominance in attack. Despite the personnel losses, Hansi Flick's team has enough class to create problems for any defense.
Valencia, in turn, is playing more aggressively at the Mestalla, which is confirmed by the results in the Cup and La Liga. Los Ches have scored goals in five of their last six home matches, and they have also consistently scored in the previous two cup meetings. Despite the crushing 1-7 defeat in the recent face-to-face match with Barcelona, the Valencians are able to impose a fight, especially since the Catalans are not always reliable in defense. In seven of Barcelona's last ten games in the Spanish Cup, the "both will score" bet has played, which confirms the trend towards productive football.
Our forecast is that both teams will score and we bet on it with a coefficient of 1.95
Betting on the outcome
The Spanish Cup quarter-final between Valencia and Barcelona promises to be hard-fought and intense. The Catalans are approaching this match as the favorite, but Valencia traditionally gives battle even to top clubs at the Mestalla. In recent home matches, Carlos Corberan's team has demonstrated an organized game, and their victories over Celta and Betis have shown that the team is able to hold off serious rivals.
In addition, Barcelona has not always shown dominant football in recent Spanish Cup away matches, and three of the Catalans' five previous quarterfinal matches ended in a draw in regular time. Historically, matches between these teams have often been closely fought, and it will not be easy for Barcelona to break the resistance of a motivated opponent.
The forecast is a draw in regular time for a coefficient of 5.30
Betting on statistics
The Valencians have been actively using flank attacks and overhangs in recent matches, which leads to a large number of standard positions. Meetings between these teams are often accompanied by a lot of corner kicks, especially when Barcelona controls the ball and the opponent plays second. In five of the last six face-to-face meetings, the teams have submitted 10 or more corners, and their last match at the Mestalla in La Liga brought 12 corners. Given the attacking potential of both sides and the likely high dynamics of the game, we can expect a large number of corner kicks.
The forecast is that the total number of corners is more than 9.5 for a coefficient of 1.90