"Lech" — "Rakow": forecast for the Polish championship match
Poznan "Lech" and "Rakow" will play in the 21st round of the Polish championship. Both teams are fighting for the championship. The hosts currently occupy the first place, while the guests are four points behind and occupy the third place. Will the home team be able to break away from the competition on February 14th? The answer is in our forecast for this match.

Command Analysis

Lech Poznan

Current form
Lech is planning to regain the league title this season. The last time the players of the Poznan club lifted the trophy over their heads was in 2022, and in the last two seasons they failed to compete for the championship. Now the team has every chance to triumph. After 20 matches, Lech is single-handedly at the top of the standings, three points ahead of the reigning champion, Jagiellonia. Today's opponent, Rakow, is four points behind and is also a competitor to the hosts. On January 31, Nils Frederiksen's team managed to defeat Widzev (4:1), but in the first match of February, the team from Poznan suffered a guest defeat from Gdansk Lechia (0:1). The removal of Alex Douglas at the beginning of the match played a role.
Disqualifications and injuries
Alex Douglas is suspended, and Philip Dagerstol is out due to injury. Afonso Souza and Patrick Volemark are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- The team has conceded one goal in each of the last three matches.
- The hosts have won only one of the last four matches of the championship
Approximate line-up: Mrozek - Gurgul, Milic, Salamon, Pereira - Hakans, Kosubal, Murawski, Golizade - Jagiello - Ishak

Rakow Czestochowa

Current form
Rakow became the Polish champion immediately after Lech, in 2023. The team failed to build on its success, and the club finished the following season in the middle of the table, in seventh place. Now we have managed to get back into the fight for the leading positions - the guests occupy the third line and are only four points behind the leading Lech. The team finished 2024 with a series of 11 matches without defeats in the Polish championship, but 2025 did not start in the best way. On February 1, Marek Papshun's team drew with Cracovia, and then lost at home to the modest Katowice (1:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Michael Amea, Shimon Chizh and Bogdan Rakitan are missing due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- The team has scored only one victory in the last five matches.
- The visitors have lost only one of the last eight away matches.
Approximate composition: Trelowski - Rundich, Arsenic, Barat -Silva, Kochergin, Berggren, Tudor - Lopez, Adriano -Brunes
Trends
The bet is an exact score of 1:1
Two of the last three matches of the guests ended in a draw.
7.00Bet Both will score
This bet has played in three of the last four matches of the hosts
1.93The bid is the number 1 in the final bill
This pattern has worked in the last four matches of the hosts.
1.63Tip and bets
Both teams have been acting too unstable lately, although they are the main contenders for the championship. In the last round, the opponents lost synchronously to the teams that were much inferior in class. In face-to-face meetings, Rakv does not lose to Lech so often, so the guests have a good chance of at least one point in this match.
Our forecast is that Rakow will not lose in 1.65
Bet on the total
The opponents are direct competitors in the fight for the first place, so it is obvious that the preparation for the face-to-face meeting will be as serious as possible. Most likely, the opponents will not allow defensive failures, so you should not count on a scoring extravaganza. For sure, the match will be fought hard, but without a lot of scoring chances.
Our forecast is a total of less than 2.5 goals in 1.67
The first half bet
We do not expect that the opponents will move forward with great strength immediately after the kickoff. Obviously, it will take time to take a closer look at each other. In this scenario, a draw is likely based on the results of the first half.
Our forecast is a draw in the first half at 2.00