Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Lokomotiv: KHL Match Prediction
September 3 is a holiday for all hockey fans, as the regular KHL championship starts, and in the opening match you can watch the current holder of the Gagarin Cup, represented by Magnitogorsk Metallurg, who will face Lokomotiv. Both teams have fully regained their strength during the long break, and also tried to preserve the main backbone during the off-season. The clubs' readiness for the new season can be judged by their results in pre-season tournaments, which our experts will tell you about in the betting tip, and will also help you decide on the most relevant bets on the upcoming match

Command Analysis

Metallurg Magnitogorsk

Current form
Last season, Metallurg decided to restructure, not only appointing a new head coach, Andrei Razin, but also seriously rejuvenating the roster. The club, as always, was aiming for the highest awards, but few could have expected that this year Magnitogorsk would not only win the conference, but also win the Gagarin Cup. Indeed, the changes in the roster paid off almost from the start, and as the regular season progressed, the team became stronger and stronger and approached the final stage at the peak of its form, thanks to which it achieved success.
As expected, the team has remained virtually unchanged during the offseason, retaining all of its key players. Indeed, the roster looks completely balanced and, at first glance, has no weaknesses. The young and promising goalie Ilya Nabokov is in goal, having had a fantastic last season, with a 93.4% save percentage and seven shutouts. The defensive line has played a significant role in Ilya's success, not only consistently doing its job, but also actively supporting Metallurg's attack, allowing it to become one of the most productive teams in the league.
The Foxes played as many as eight preseason games, most of which they suffered defeats. Indeed, Magnitogorsk did not perform well in friendly tournaments, but it is worth noting that Razin actively rotated the roster, constantly experimenting and trying to find new player combinations, which resulted in not the best result. The home tournament, the Ivan Romazan Memorial, was not without scandal at all: in a match with Neftekhimik, Razin led the team off the ice after an unsuccessful power move by the opponent and an injury to key player Daniil Vovchenko, explaining this by his reluctance to play with such an aggressive opponent. By the way, Vovchenko suffered a concussion and will not have time to recover by the start of the regular championship.
Latest news from Metallurg
Forward Daniil Vovchenko, who was injured in the match against Neftekhimik, has already been discharged from the hospital and will return to training in 7-10 days
Injuries and disqualifications
Vovchenko (concussion)
Interesting trends for betting
- Last season, Metallurg allowed just 31 goals while shorthanded, the best result in the league.
Indeed, Metallurg, thanks to its strict defensive play, consistently played out the minority without consequences, which became one of the reasons for the club’s stunning success last season.
- Metallurg scored an average of 3.11 goals per game
Metallurg has become one of the most productive teams in the league year after year, as it prefers open attacking hockey and is used to achieving results precisely due to the number of goals scored.
Estimated composition
Nabokov, Smolin, Yakovlev, Orekhov, Press, Maklyukov, Khabarov, Minulin, Eremenko, Silantyev, Grass, Bashkirov, Mikhailis, Kozlov, Petunin, Vovchenko, Geraskin, Wilson, Akolzin, Johnson, Korobkin

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Current form
Lokomotiv is one of the strongest teams in the West and has been creating serious competition for the best clubs in the league for two years in a row, although in their entire history the Yaroslavl team has never held the Gagarin Cup in their hands, and has only reached the final twice, one of which was last year. The Railwaymen chose a strategy of careful and measured play from defense, which is in fact the best in the league at the moment, as clearly indicated by the goal-gain rate - 139 in 68 matches. Indeed, due to such a reliable game, the club was able to reach the final, but this same style played a cruel joke on the team. Metallurg also played carefully and did not allow the Yaroslavl team to make dangerous counterattacks, as a result of which Lokomotiv scored only three goals in the series, thereby suffering a dry defeat.
Lokomotiv's main problem was obvious, which the club's management began to combat in the off-season by making dubious and at the same time interesting transfers, signing two forwards Radulov and Froese from the NHL. Alexander needs no introduction and is quite capable of raising the club's morale with his authority, but there are questions about Froese. The player played 53 games in the AHL last season, scoring 31 points, and for Vegas he only made one assist. However, it is worth noting that the player managed to prove himself in the pre-season, scoring two goals. In general, it will be more interesting to watch the Yaroslavl attacking line, and it will be worth judging the results a little later.
Lokomotiv had a very successful pre-season, the team played five friendly matches, winning almost all of them. Igor Nikitin's charges began to play openly, which pleased the club's fans, scoring as many as 18 goals. The only defeat the "railwaymen" suffered was from Avangard, and that was due to an unfortunate missed goal just a minute before the final whistle.
Injuries and disqualifications
Bereglazov (injury), Kayumov (injury), Rafikov (injury)
Interesting trends for betting
- During the offseason, Lokomotiv scored an average of 3.6 goals per game
Lokomotiv has clearly changed its tactics, which was at least noticeable in pre-season games. The Yaroslavl team has started playing open hockey, which has a positive effect on the overall performance.
- Last season, Lokomotiv conceded an average of 2.11 goals per game
Lokomotiv's defensive line has remained unchanged, and last year it was the most reliable in the league.
Estimated composition
Melnichuk, Isaev, Elesin, Labutkin, Kozhevnikov, Simashev, Uliev, Cherepanov, Sergeev, Kiryanov, Ivanov, Nikulin, Yabelov, Likhachev, Radulov, But, Fraze, Kraskovsky, Tesanov, Berezkin, Shalunov, Volkov
Trends
Goal in each period bet – no
In four of the six head-to-head matches, the teams failed to score a goal in each period.
1.95Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In seven out of eight head-to-head matches, the teams failed to score more than one goal in the first period.
1.61Bet Victory on shots on target – Lokomotiv
In four out of six head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv outshot Metallurg
2.28Tip and bets
The opening match has a symbolic meaning for the teams, which means that a fierce battle should be expected in the opening match, especially between the archrivals. Lokomotiv is eager to take revenge on Metallurg for the rout in the final, but will the Yaroslavl team be able to achieve the desired result? Firstly, the Railwaymen have lost their strong defense from last season and have started to let in too many goals. Open hockey is definitely a plus, but it is poorly compatible with the working tactics of Igor Nikitin, who prefers to open the scoring early and sit in deep defense. Magnitogorsk, in turn, will be very happy with the attacking style of play, because this is their strong point, and the club's efficiency is the main advantage. We believe that Lokomotiv's desire to take revenge will be too strong and they will go on the attack again, which Magnitka will take advantage of, as it was in the Gagarin Cup final, repeating the result and winning the fifth victory over the opponent.
Our prediction is Metallurg's victory in the match at 1.87
Bet on total
As we have already noted many times, Lokomotiv has started playing open attacking hockey and is missing a lot of goals. It is unlikely that Igor Nikitin will be able to improve his defense in such a short time, which means we should again expect productive hockey from the upcoming match, which is what we suggest making a second bet on.
Betting Tip - total over 4.5 goals for 1.81
Bet on the outcome of the first period
Metallurg did not show the best game in the starting segment in the preseason and constantly allowed opponents to earn an early advantage, which caused a large number of defeats. The club had to seriously work on the first period, which will bear fruit and the "foxes" will not allow the Yaroslavl team to win in the first twenty minutes.
Betting Tip: Metallurg wins in the first period with a handicap of (0) for 1.84